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Mercados de predicción Science and Technology
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $481
- 100 USD → $126
Vol. 73.991 US$ (24h)
Best AI this week
Qwen
Dola
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 22.691 US$ (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 10000
Vol. 13.252 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.90
Above $1.83
Vol. 5264 US$ (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
Vol. 2898 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a. m.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $244
- 100 USD → $164
Vol. 2536 US$ (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 USD → $149
- 100 USD → $250
Vol. 2134 US$ (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 2111 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.02
Above $1.06
Vol. 1980 US$ (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Vol. 1661 US$ (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $386
- 100 USD → $132
Vol. 1285 US$ (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 683 US$ (24h)
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 USD → $178
- 100 USD → $218
Vol. 525 US$ (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Vol. 402 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
jun 30 · 4:00a. m.
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before July 2027
Before October 2027
jun 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 USD → $189
- 100 USD → $208
Vol. 357 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.51
Above $4.54
Vol. 317 US$ (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 USD → $526
- 100 USD → $122
Vol. 313 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by May 1, 2026?
- 100 USD → $1,250
- 100 USD → $102
Vol. 309 US$ (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. 306 US$ (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. 255 US$ (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
Vol. 208 US$ (24h)
