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Mercados de predicción Politics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 245.057 US$ (24h)

How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
Vol. 111.295 US$ (24h)

US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
Vol. 93.675 US$ (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
Vol. 50.688 US$ (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 42.513 US$ (24h)

How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
Vol. 41.402 US$ (24h)

Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 39.517 US$ (24h)

Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $833
- 100 USD → $112
Vol. 38.096 US$ (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Vol. 35.552 US$ (24h)

When will DHS be funded again?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
Vol. 33.717 US$ (24h)

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Lee Zeldin
Pete Hegseth
Vol. 26.277 US$ (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
Vol. 25.689 US$ (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 230
Vol. 23.472 US$ (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
Vol. 22.407 US$ (24h)

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan
James Comey
Vol. 15.279 US$ (24h)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 14.279 US$ (24h)

Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Vol. 13.170 US$ (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
Vol. 13.119 US$ (24h)

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 11.959 US$ (24h)

Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?
- 100 USD → $109
- 100 USD → $1,000
Vol. 9945 US$ (24h)

Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol. 9527 US$ (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- 100 USD → $103
- 100 USD → $2,500
Vol. 8725 US$ (24h)

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $500
- 100 USD → $123
Vol. 8642 US$ (24h)

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
Vol. 8295 US$ (24h)

Powell out as Chair?
- 100 USD → $4,545
- 100 USD → $101
may 1 · 2:00a. m.

When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 7951 US$ (24h)

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 7943 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- 100 USD → $1,111
- 100 USD → $109
Vol. 7120 US$ (24h)
Will Kash Patel sue The Atlantic in Apr 2026?
- 100 USD → $132
- 100 USD → $263
Vol. 5832 US$ (24h)

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $769
- 100 USD → $114
Vol. 5415 US$ (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 5410 US$ (24h)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/19-4/25)
120-139
100-119
Vol. 4453 US$ (24h)