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Politics Prediction Markets
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$262,977 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
$93,939 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
$93,759 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
$62,255 vol. (24h)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/12-4/18)
180-199
100-119
$54,528 vol. (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
$54,472 vol. (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Tulsi Gabbard
$44,408 vol. (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
$31,652 vol. (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
$23,821 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$22,670 vol. (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 230
$21,676 vol. (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
$20,019 vol. (24h)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$16,632 vol. (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$16,207 vol. (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/12 - 4/18)
- $100 → --
- $100 → $10,000
$14,310 vol. (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$14,245 vol. (24h)
Who will visit Venezuela before May?
Edmundo González Urrutia
María Corina Machado
$14,068 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$13,585 vol. (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before May 15, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$13,235 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $833
- $100 → $112
$11,013 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$9,170 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/12-4/18)
- $100 → $5,000
- $100 → $101
$8,948 vol. (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$8,542 vol. (24h)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
$7,858 vol. (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Hassett
$7,537 vol. (24h)
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
Claudia Sheinbaum
Xi Jinping
$6,691 vol. (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Susan Collins
Rand Paul
$6,006 vol. (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
$5,621 vol. (24h)
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Below 300
Between 300 and 349
$5,238 vol. (24h)
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$5,203 vol. (24h)
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (4/12 - 4/18)
- $100 → $3,333
- $100 → $102
$4,947 vol. (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$4,787 vol. (24h)
