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Science and Technology Predictions
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.93
Above $0.90
$35 vol. (24h)
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- $100 → $227
- $100 → $175
$0 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
When will Artemis II launch?
Before Apr 5, 2026
Before Apr 4, 2026
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$1 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $3.17
Above $3.19
$80 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $233
$232 vol. (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
$25 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Radiant Industries
Atomic Alchemy
$4,942 vol. (24h)
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
- $100 → $286
- $100 → $149
$7 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Yu Deng
$21 vol. (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$668 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $222
- $100 → $179
$159 vol. (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before July
$840 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $1.73
Above $1.74
$1,252 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $2.43
Above $2.51
$1,585 vol. (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $227
$430 vol. (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- $100 → $227
- $100 → $167
$18 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$4,126 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $164
- $100 → $244
$1,620 vol. (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$0 vol. (24h)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
$2,020 vol. (24h)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$6 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $182
$61 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.47
Above $0.47
$265 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$1,617 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Math in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$66 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$178 vol. (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $179
$178 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,713 vol. (24h)
