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Politics Prediction Markets
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$737,790 vol. (24h)
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$303,842 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $10,000
- $100 → --
$198,958 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
$177,515 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$96,970 vol. (24h)
Which Senators will vote for the budget resolution?
John Fetterman
Chuck Grassley
$94,579 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before July
$86,244 vol. (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
$69,188 vol. (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 30
Above 40
$65,491 vol. (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
$61,984 vol. (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$59,660 vol. (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
$48,606 vol. (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Karoline Leavitt
$39,762 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
$39,728 vol. (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$36,636 vol. (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
$29,926 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$29,497 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $1,031
- $100 → $110
$25,399 vol. (24h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$25,306 vol. (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
$23,331 vol. (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 230
$20,856 vol. (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$19,039 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- $100 → $3,333
- $100 → $102
$15,273 vol. (24h)
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$15,132 vol. (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$14,048 vol. (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before Apr 30, 2026
Before Apr 29, 2026
$13,317 vol. (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$11,814 vol. (24h)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $556
- $100 → $119
$11,783 vol. (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$10,960 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$10,654 vol. (24h)
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- $100 → $909
- $100 → $111
$10,465 vol. (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $10,000
- $100 → $101
May 1 · 2:00AM
