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Science and Technology Prediction Markets
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $463
- $100 → $126
$123,694 vol. (24h)
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $244
- $100 → $164
$9,259 vol. (24h)
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$8,111 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$5,841 vol. (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$5,346 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$3,058 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$2,459 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $104
- $100 → $1,000
$2,315 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.50
Above $4.52
$1,520 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $132
$1,513 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
$1,379 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Dola
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
$1,190 vol. (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$976 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.77
$954 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.48
Above $0.46
$865 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $112
- $100 → $588
$607 vol. (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$561 vol. (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before November
Before September
$533 vol. (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $455
- $100 → $116
$432 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $238
- $100 → $156
$393 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- $100 → $526
- $100 → $122
$350 vol. (24h)
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $196
$268 vol. (24h)
