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Politics Prediction Markets
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$283,501 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
$265,215 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
$118,642 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$100,564 vol. (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Lee Zeldin
$99,484 vol. (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
$96,330 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
$65,907 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$65,045 vol. (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$54,339 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $5,000
- $100 → $101
$45,915 vol. (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
$44,688 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $769
- $100 → $114
$38,191 vol. (24h)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer out as Labor Secretary?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$38,063 vol. (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
$38,053 vol. (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- $100 → $132
- $100 → $357
$37,318 vol. (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
John Fetterman
Thom Tillis
$34,478 vol. (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $5,556
- $100 → $101
May 1 · 2:00AM
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$25,809 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$25,092 vol. (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$24,140 vol. (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 290
Above 218
$18,905 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- $100 → $1,000
- $100 → $111
$17,566 vol. (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
$17,121 vol. (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $588
- $100 → $119
$16,902 vol. (24h)
Will Trump do anything this week? (4/19-4/25)
At least 10
At least 15
$16,817 vol. (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
$14,037 vol. (24h)
Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?
- $100 → $118
- $100 → $588
$14,006 vol. (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
$11,168 vol. (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$10,998 vol. (24h)
Which DHS components will receive more funding before May?
Coast Guard
TSA
$9,576 vol. (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$8,913 vol. (24h)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
$7,845 vol. (24h)
