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Economics Prediction Markets

Fed decision in Apr 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Apr 29 · 5:00PM

Fed funds rate after Apr 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%
Above 3.75%
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
Gas prices in the US in Apr 2026?
Above 4.00
Above 4.10
Apr 30 · 3:00AM

CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?
Exactly 3.6%
Exactly 3.5%
May 12 · 12:00PM

Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Jun 17 · 5:00PM

CPI in April
Above 0.4%
Above 0.5%
May 12 · 10:30AM
US gas prices this week
Above 4.020
Above 4.120
Apr 27 · 2:00AM
Bank of Japan rate decision in April
Hike more than 25bps
Hike 25bps
Apr 28 · 2:00AM

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Apr 30 · 12:00PM
US gas prices on Apr 21, 2026
Above 4.035
Above 4.080
Apr 21 · 2:00AM
Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.6%
Above 3.7%
May 12 · 12:00PM

Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 1 cut
Jan 1 · 3:00AM

Recession this year?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $133
Jan 31 · 1:00PM

CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?
Exactly 0.5%
Exactly 0.4%
May 12 · 12:00PM
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
1
2
Apr 29 · 5:00PM

Jobs numbers in Apr 2026?
Above 70,000
Above 80,000
May 8 · 12:00PM
Initial jobless claims for the week ending April 18, 2026
At least 210000
At least 215000
Apr 23 · 12:00PM

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Above 1.75%
Above 3.00%
Apr 28 · 5:00PM
Will 32BJ SEIU NYC residential building workers strike before May?
- $100 → $10,000
- $100 → --
May 1 · 2:00AM
UK inflation rate YoY for March 2026
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%
Apr 22 · 5:00AM
US retail sales in March 2026
Above 1.0%
Above 1.2%
Apr 21 · 12:00PM

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
- $100 → $478
- $100 → $123
Jan 1 · 3:00PM
USD/IRR on April 30, 2026
Above 1,100,000
Above 1,700,000
Apr 30 · 1:00PM

GDP growth in 2026?
2.1 to 2.5
1.6 to 2.0
$1,797 vol. (24h)
Bank of Mexico rate decision in May
Maintain current rate
Cut 25bps
May 7 · 6:30PM
Who will dissent at the April 2026 FOMC meeting?
Christopher Waller
Michelle Bowman
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
Unemployment in April 2026
Above 4.2%
Above 4.3%
May 8 · 12:00PM

CPI in May
Above 0.0%
Above 0.2%
Jun 10 · 10:30AM
Japan inflation rate MoM for March
Above 0.0%
Above 0.2%
Apr 23 · 11:00PM

Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
Jul 1 · 2:00AM
ISM Manufacturing PMI in April 2026
At least 51
At least 52
May 1 · 1:00PM

Fed decision in Jul 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Jul 29 · 5:00PM