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Science and Technology Prediction Markets
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $485
- $100 → $126
$82,675 vol. (24h)
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$14,383 vol. (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $192
$9,833 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
$6,967 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$5,164 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$4,259 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $161
- $100 → $256
$3,243 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $110
- $100 → $667
$3,169 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.46
Above $0.48
$2,014 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $132
- $100 → $303
$1,487 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,258 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $286
- $100 → $143
$1,231 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $141
- $100 → $303
$1,128 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $386
- $100 → $132
$975 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$750 vol. (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
$683 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.91
$690 vol. (24h)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- $100 → $110
- $100 → $1,000
$643 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.52
Above $4.51
$593 vol. (24h)
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before July
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- $100 → $500
- $100 → $123
$503 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$490 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
$404 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
$393 vol. (24h)
