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Science and Technology Predictions
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.83
Above $0.85
$61 vol. (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
$84 vol. (24h)
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- $100 → $244
- $100 → $159
$61 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$37 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $3.21
Above $3.18
$2 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $175
- $100 → $213
$2,690 vol. (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
$129 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Antares Nuclear
Atomic Alchemy
$202 vol. (24h)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $200
$126 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
$143 vol. (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$1,302 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $222
- $100 → $175
$941 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $1.79
Above $1.70
$28,508 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $2.41
Above $2.38
$273 vol. (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $185
$946 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
$14,526 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $172
- $100 → $222
$2,099 vol. (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$0 vol. (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
$168 vol. (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
$2,184 vol. (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before June
Before April
$2,682 vol. (24h)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$0 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $217
- $100 → $182
$12 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.47
Above $0.47
$237 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$984 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Math in 2026?
No significant difference
Significant decrease
$3 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$40 vol. (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $192
- $100 → $189
$50 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$4,945 vol. (24h)
