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Science and Technology Predictions
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.89
Above $0.93
$0 vol. (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
$1,216 vol. (24h)
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $179
$274 vol. (24h)
When will Artemis II launch?
Before Apr 7, 2026
Before Apr 6, 2026
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$0 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $3.17
Above $3.19
$58 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $172
- $100 → $222
$224 vol. (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
$3 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Antares Nuclear
Atomic Alchemy
$708 vol. (24h)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- $100 → $182
- $100 → $208
$0 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
John Pardon
$35 vol. (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$331 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $233
- $100 → $172
$34 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $1.75
Above $1.76
$2,469 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $2.38
Above $2.41
$643 vol. (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $156
- $100 → $270
$3,672 vol. (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- $100 → $227
- $100 → $164
$40 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$4,752 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $189
- $100 → $208
$201 vol. (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$28 vol. (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
$161 vol. (24h)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
$2 vol. (24h)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$28 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $179
$628 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.47
Above $0.47
$8 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$1,162 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Math in 2026?
No significant difference
Significant decrease
$359 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$516 vol. (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $208
- $100 → $179
$400 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$730 vol. (24h)
