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Science and Technology Predictions
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $500
- $100 → $123
$213,221 vol. (24h)
Best AI in Feb 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$99,850 vol. (24h)
What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$52,566 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Gemini
Claude
$22,147 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
$5,633 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$4,881 vol. (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $182
- $100 → $200
$3,891 vol. (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
$2,942 vol. (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$2,316 vol. (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- $100 → $286
- $100 → $145
$1,580 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1550 score
At least 1575 score
$1,429 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $189
- $100 → $208
$1,221 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $417
- $100 → $130
$1,175 vol. (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Antares Nuclear
Atomic Alchemy
$1,166 vol. (24h)
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
- $100 → $1,250
- $100 → $104
$961 vol. (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Other
$765 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$573 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
$468 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $213
$455 vol. (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before July
Before April
$454 vol. (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $100 → $625
- $100 → $116
$404 vol. (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?
- $100 → $303
- $100 → $147
$332 vol. (24h)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Computer
Clip-on device for clothing
$312 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $179
- $100 → $222
$270 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
$252 vol. (24h)
Will Trump make IVF free?
- $100 → $556
- $100 → $118
$212 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$187 vol. (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
$184 vol. (24h)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- $100 → $104
- $100 → $1,429
$169 vol. (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $286
- $100 → $147
$165 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $185
$151 vol. (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- $100 → $400
- $100 → $132
$130 vol. (24h)
