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Science and Technology Prediction Markets
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $461
- $100 → $127
$134,594 vol. (24h)
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $238
$9,999 vol. (24h)
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$9,419 vol. (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before May
Before July
$3,884 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $366
- $100 → $132
$2,874 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$1,835 vol. (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$1,485 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,364 vol. (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
$1,316 vol. (24h)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
Aug 31 · 4:00AM
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.82
Above $1.86
$1,219 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $100 → $833
- $100 → $110
$1,101 vol. (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$966 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
$916 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $128
$648 vol. (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
Apr 14 · 4:00AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Qwen
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $189
$514 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
$471 vol. (24h)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $122
$449 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $2.55
Above $2.69
$337 vol. (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$300 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$271 vol. (24h)
