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Science and Technology Predictions
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.89
Above $0.93
$0 vol. (24h)
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- $100 → $213
- $100 → $179
$0 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
When will Artemis II launch?
Before Apr 6, 2026
Before Apr 5, 2026
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$7 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $3.17
Above $3.19
$13 vol. (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
$0 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Antares Nuclear
$770 vol. (24h)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- $100 → $179
- $100 → $196
$43 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
$138 vol. (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$188 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $227
- $100 → $172
$1,148 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $1.76
Above $1.75
$2,346 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $2.38
Above $2.48
$279 vol. (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $167
- $100 → $238
$1,960 vol. (24h)
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- $100 → $233
- $100 → $164
$62 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
$1,370 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $189
- $100 → $208
$96 vol. (24h)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$0 vol. (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
$61 vol. (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
$335 vol. (24h)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$2 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $179
$108 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.47
Above $0.47
$168 vol. (24h)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
- $100 → $156
- $100 → $270
$126 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$564 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Math in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$210 vol. (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
$596 vol. (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $192
$318 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$165 vol. (24h)
