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Politics Predictions

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton
$1,374,251 vol. (24h)

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Before September 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026
$877,307 vol. (24h)

Who will attend the State of the Union?

George Santos
Barron Trump
$347,344 vol. (24h)

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$282,793 vol. (24h)

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Republican Party
$117,216 vol. (24h)

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 35 days
At least 40 days
$89,776 vol. (24h)

World leaders out in 2026?

Miguel Díaz-Canel
Viktor Orbán
$86,042 vol. (24h)

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

James Talarico
Jasmine Crockett
$77,981 vol. (24h)

Donald Trump out as President?

Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$76,185 vol. (24h)

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
$36,513 vol. (24h)

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Before 2027
Before July
$33,211 vol. (24h)

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds
James Fishback
$30,574 vol. (24h)

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

Talarico vs. Paxton
Crockett vs. Paxton
$25,897 vol. (24h)

When will DHS be funded again?

Before Mar 20, 2026
Before Mar 10, 2026
$23,905 vol. (24h)

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

Boston
Portland
$23,145 vol. (24h)

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
Before August
$21,963 vol. (24h)

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Pam Bondi
Kristi Noem
$21,665 vol. (24h)

How many bills will President Trump sign in Feb 2026?

5
6
$20,921 vol. (24h)

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2026?

  • $100 → $256
  • $100 → $161
$20,829 vol. (24h)

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton
John Cornyn
$20,685 vol. (24h)

Global right wing sweep: October 2025

  • $100 → $5,000
  • $100 → $101
$20,258 vol. (24h)

Will the SAVE Act become law?

  • $100 → $714
  • $100 → $115
$18,971 vol. (24h)

California Governor winner? (Person)

Eric Swalwell
Matt Mahan
$18,855 vol. (24h)

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Democratic party
$17,504 vol. (24h)

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

  • $100 → $169
  • $100 → $233
$16,687 vol. (24h)

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193
198-202
$15,442 vol. (24h)

Will a court order a tariff refund?

Before 2027
Before July 2026
$14,698 vol. (24h)

Powell out as Chair?

  • $100 → $3,333
  • $100 → $102
$13,677 vol. (24h)

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

Delcy Rodríguez
2+ people
$13,238 vol. (24h)

Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
$12,472 vol. (24h)

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before 2027
Before August
$12,198 vol. (24h)

When will Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination be received by the Senate?

Before March 13
Before March
$11,919 vol. (24h)