Prediction markets are not available in your area.
Politics Predictions
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton
$1,374,251 vol. (24h)
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026
$877,307 vol. (24h)
Who will attend the State of the Union?
George Santos
Barron Trump
$347,344 vol. (24h)
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$282,793 vol. (24h)
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
$117,216 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 35 days
At least 40 days
$89,776 vol. (24h)
World leaders out in 2026?
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Viktor Orbán
$86,042 vol. (24h)
Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
James Talarico
Jasmine Crockett
$77,981 vol. (24h)
Donald Trump out as President?
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$76,185 vol. (24h)
2028 Republican nominee for President?
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
$36,513 vol. (24h)
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before July
$33,211 vol. (24h)
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds
James Fishback
$30,574 vol. (24h)
2026 Texas Senate matchup?
Talarico vs. Paxton
Crockett vs. Paxton
$25,897 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before Mar 20, 2026
Before Mar 10, 2026
$23,905 vol. (24h)
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
Boston
Portland
$23,145 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$21,963 vol. (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pam Bondi
Kristi Noem
$21,665 vol. (24h)
How many bills will President Trump sign in Feb 2026?
5
6
$20,921 vol. (24h)
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2026?
- $100 → $256
- $100 → $161
$20,829 vol. (24h)
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Ken Paxton
John Cornyn
$20,685 vol. (24h)
Global right wing sweep: October 2025
- $100 → $5,000
- $100 → $101
$20,258 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $714
- $100 → $115
$18,971 vol. (24h)
California Governor winner? (Person)
Eric Swalwell
Matt Mahan
$18,855 vol. (24h)
Texas Senate winner?
Republican party
Democratic party
$17,504 vol. (24h)
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $233
$16,687 vol. (24h)
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193
198-202
$15,442 vol. (24h)
Will a court order a tariff refund?
Before 2027
Before July 2026
$14,698 vol. (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $3,333
- $100 → $102
$13,677 vol. (24h)
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Delcy Rodríguez
2+ people
$13,238 vol. (24h)
Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
$12,472 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2027
Before August
$12,198 vol. (24h)
When will Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination be received by the Senate?
Before March 13
Before March
$11,919 vol. (24h)