Prediction markets are not available in your area.
Politics Prediction Markets
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$433,196 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before July
$238,190 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
$154,889 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $10,000
- $100 → --
$125,310 vol. (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Karoline Leavitt
$120,001 vol. (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
$115,600 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
$110,030 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$93,706 vol. (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$79,283 vol. (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
$65,717 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$61,083 vol. (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $5,556
- $100 → $101
May 1 · 2:00AM
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 290
$43,176 vol. (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
$41,099 vol. (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$37,340 vol. (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$37,039 vol. (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$34,736 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- $100 → $1,111
- $100 → $109
$31,464 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
Keith Sonderling
Glenn Youngkin
$25,191 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $833
- $100 → $112
$17,739 vol. (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.4 to 41.6
$16,925 vol. (24h)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$16,603 vol. (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$16,160 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$15,845 vol. (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 60
Above 70
$14,632 vol. (24h)
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member
Jared Kushner
$14,266 vol. (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $588
- $100 → $119
$14,206 vol. (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Bill Cassidy
Rand Paul
$13,968 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- $100 → $909
- $100 → $111
$12,534 vol. (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$12,149 vol. (24h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$12,036 vol. (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
$11,149 vol. (24h)
