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Economics Prediction Markets
US gas prices this week
Above 4.040
Above 4.050
Apr 20 · 2:00AM

Fed decision in Apr 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
Gas prices in the US in Apr 2026?
Above 3.90
Above 4.10
Apr 30 · 3:00AM

Fed funds rate after Apr 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%
Above 3.50%
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
US gas prices on Apr 20, 2026
Above 4.045
Above 4.050
Apr 20 · 2:00AM

CPI in April
Above 0.4%
Above 0.5%
May 12 · 10:30AM

Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Jun 17 · 5:00PM

Recession this year?
- $100 → $370
- $100 → $135
Jan 31 · 1:00PM
US flight cancellations for the week ending at 12pm EDT on 4/20
Above 900ㅤ
Above 1100ㅤ
Apr 21 · 2:00AM

Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 1 cut
Jan 1 · 3:00AM
Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.5%
Above 3.6%
May 12 · 12:00PM

Jobs numbers in Apr 2026?
Above 70,000
Above 80,000
May 8 · 12:00PM

CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?
Exactly 3.6%
Exactly 3.5%
May 12 · 12:00PM

CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?
Exactly 0.5%
Exactly 0.4%
May 12 · 12:00PM
TSA avg check-ins from Apr 13 to 19, 2026?
Above 1.85 million
Above 2.45 million
$3,755 vol. (24h)

How high will inflation get this year?
At least 4%
At least 4.5%
Feb 14 · 1:30PM

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Apr 30 · 12:00PM
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
1
2
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
US housing starts for March 2026
Above 1.325M
Above 1.350M
Apr 29 · 12:00PM
USD/IRR on April 30, 2026
Above 1,100,000
Above 1,700,000
Apr 30 · 1:00PM
Will 32BJ SEIU NYC residential building workers strike before May?
- $100 → $5,000
- $100 → --
May 1 · 2:00AM
Bank of Japan rate decision in April
Maintain current rate
Hike 25bps
Apr 28 · 2:00AM

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
More than $1.2 trillion
More than $1 trillion
Jan 1 · 3:00PM
Fed median dot plot in June 2026
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%
Jun 17 · 3:00PM

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
- $100 → $426
- $100 → $124
Jan 1 · 3:00PM

Fed decision in Jul 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Jul 29 · 5:00PM
Who will dissent at the April 2026 FOMC meeting?
Michelle Bowman
Christopher Waller
Apr 29 · 5:00PM
US government debt on April 30, 2026
Above 39.10 trillion
Above 39.20 trillion
May 1 · 6:00PM
Japan inflation rate MoM for March
Above 0.2%
Above 0.1%
Apr 23 · 11:00PM

Jobs numbers in May 2026?
Above 50,000
Above 60,000
Jun 5 · 12:00PM
Initial jobless claims for the week ending April 18, 2026
At least 210000
At least 215000
Apr 23 · 12:00PM

Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
Jul 1 · 2:00AM