{"id":496380,"date":"2025-09-01T22:30:48","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T21:30:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=496380"},"modified":"2025-09-02T01:53:34","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T00:53:34","slug":"economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"Economist &#8216;extremely confident&#8217; bull cycle is not over, expects less volatile super cycle"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Economist Alex Kr\u00fcger dismissed concerns about the crypto bull cycle ending, arguing that widespread bearish sentiment creates a contrarian buying opportunity as markets prepare for recovery.<\/p>\n<p>In an Aug. 30 <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/krugermacro\/status\/1961662041829359935\">X post<\/a>, Kr\u00fcger noted that &#8220;most crypto charts now look so broken and bearish that is bullish,&#8221; citing significant long liquidations as evidence of capitulation.<\/p>\n<p>The economist positioned bullishly for the coming week after experiencing losses earlier in the trading session.<\/p>\n<p>Kr\u00fcger observed that the recent market decline primarily affected <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a>, while altcoins stopped crashing earlier in the session. He added that such divergence often signals upcoming strength,<\/p>\n<p>He emphasized that optimal buying opportunities emerge &#8220;when everybody is panicking, and not when we are all celebrating.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The economist expects market volatility to persist until the Federal Reserve's next meeting, noting that a rate cut remains incompletely priced into current valuations. Even with potential downside risks, Kr\u00fcger expressed &#8220;extreme confidence that this is not the end of the cycle.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>No blow-off tops for now<\/h2>\n<p>When questioned about the longevity of the cycle without a blow-off top, Kr\u00fcger explained his &#8220;super cycle&#8221; thesis. This framework envisions key assets continuing higher with &#8220;smaller dips and a lower slope&#8221; rather than traditional manic runs followed by major corrections.<\/p>\n<p>Kr\u00fcger does not anticipate a blow-off top in 2025, citing insufficient conditions for major manic moves except possibly for <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/solana\/\">Solana<\/a> due to <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitwise-says-solana-next-to-hit-fresh-highs-as-institutional-adoption-wave-matures\/\">accumulating demand<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, he projected that changes in the Federal Reserve's composition in 2026 could trigger the next major bull market peak.<\/p>\n<p>Contrary to bearish commentators who suggest excessive optimism requires crushing, Kr\u00fcger assessed the current sentiment as balanced, with both bullish and bearish perspectives fairly represented.<\/p>\n<h2>&#8216;Statistical nonsense'<\/h2>\n<p>He dismissed September's bearish seasonality as &#8220;statistical nonsense&#8221; from pattern-seeking behavior rather than meaningful market conditions.\u00a0He expects trading to alternate between long and short liquidations until Fed policy decisions establish a clear trend.<\/p>\n<p>While acknowledging that a 25 basis point cut would not surprise markets, he questioned whether it could serve as a catalyst that may trigger the blow-off top that many analysts predict.<\/p>\n<p>Kr\u00fcger then highlighted options skew data showing puts trading at premiums to calls, indicating fear-driven positioning. This technical setup, combined with liquidation-driven selling pressure, creates conditions favoring contrarian positioning.<\/p>\n<p>The economist's analysis suggests that the current market weakness represents temporary volatility rather than a structural breakdown, positioning the market for recovery as liquidation waves clear weak hands.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economist Alex Kr\u00fcger dismissed concerns about the crypto bull cycle ending, arguing that widespread bearish sentiment creates a contrarian buying opportunity as markets prepare for recovery. In an Aug. 30 X post, Kr\u00fcger noted that &#8220;most crypto charts now look so broken and bearish that is bullish,&#8221; citing significant long liquidations as evidence of capitulation. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1511,"featured_media":496400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,1,77968,77911,79312],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Economist &#039;extremely confident&#039; bull cycle is not over, expects less volatile super cycle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Alex Kr\u00fcger observed that the recent market decline primarily affected Bitcoin and Ethereum, while altcoins stopped crashing earlier.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economist &#039;extremely confident&#039; bull cycle is not over, expects less volatile super cycle\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alex Kr\u00fcger observed that the recent market decline primarily affected Bitcoin and Ethereum, while altcoins stopped crashing earlier.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-01T21:30:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-02T00:53:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/bull-cycle.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Gino Matos\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Gino Matos\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/economist-extremely-confident-bull-cycle-is-not-over-expects-less-volatile-super-cycle\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/gino-matos\/#person\",\"name\":\"Gino Matos\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/gino-matos\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/gino-matos\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/gino-matos\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/profile-photo-gino-300x300.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/profile-photo-gino-300x300.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Gino Matos\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Reporter\",\"description\":\"Gino Matos is a seasoned crypto journalist and law graduate covering Brazil\u2019s blockchain ecosystem and DeFi developments.\",\"worksFor\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/#organization\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/x.com\/pelicamatos\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/ginomatos\",\"https:\/\/muckrack.com\/gino-matos\"]},\"headline\":\"Economist &#8216;extremely confident&#8217; 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