{"id":495266,"date":"2025-08-24T15:00:38","date_gmt":"2025-08-24T14:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=495266"},"modified":"2026-04-30T11:50:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T10:50:17","slug":"as-september-looms-is-ethereum-due-a-seasonable-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/as-september-looms-is-ethereum-due-a-seasonable-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"As September looms, is Ethereum due a seasonable pullback?"},"content":{"rendered":"

With September just around the corner, Ethereum<\/a> bulls are jittery, since the ninth month of the calendar year has typically been associated with weakness by the number-two coin. With an average loss of -6.42%<\/a> since 2016, September is the single worst-performing month for Ethereum over most cycles.<\/p>\n

Ethereum has been on a tear, fueled by institutions<\/h2>\n

Ethereum has been on a tear lately, closing in on all-time highs and breathing new life into the ETH community and beyond. As of mid-August 2025, ETH is trading above $4,700, up roughly 76% year-to-date and about 25% just since the start of August, marking its best price performance since the 2021 bull run.<\/p>\n

Institutional inflows have been a major driver of Ethereum\u2019s rally, as spot ETH ETFs<\/a> attracted nearly $3 billion in net inflows throughout August, propelling prices higher and revealing new trends among institutional buyers.<\/p>\n

Corporate treasury adoption is also ballooning, with companies collectively amassing over $17 billion in ETH reserves this year alone, locking up supply and intensifying price momentum.<\/p>\n

Fundstrat co-founder and current chairman of BitMINE Immersion Technologies, Tom Lee, has made headlines this year with his company\u2019s strategic pivot to Ethereum.<\/p>\n

In just over a month, BitMINE accumulated the world\u2019s largest corporate Ethereum treasury, boasting over $6.6 billion<\/a> in ETH to become the largest ETH holder, surpassing even major investment and tech firms, such as ConsenSys.<\/p>\n

Macro conditions have remained favorable as well, as dovish signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve and improving global risk sentiment contributed to deeper institutional interest.<\/p>\n

On-chain factors like DeFi activity, and protocol upgrades like Pectra have further reduced liquid supply and incentivized longer-term holding, creating powerful tailwinds for ETH's price performance.<\/p>\n

ETH\u2019s notorious September weakness, bull run over?<\/h2>\n

However, as September approaches, portfolio rebalancing after summer runs, and tax-related selling could serve to damper the flames of a hot summer. Bitcoin and crypto trader Crypto Rover questioned<\/a> Ethereum\u2019s curious seasonality, posting:<\/p>\n

\u201cSEPTEMBER IS USUALLY A BEARISH MONTH FOR $ETH<\/p>\n

Not just in general, but especially in post-halving years.
\n2017: -21.65%
\n2021: -12.55%
\n2025: ???
\nWhat\u2019s your prediction?\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

ETH\u2019s price history reveals a persistent and often brutal September pattern. Since 2016, ETH gains in August are regularly wiped out in September. In 2017, ETH rallied 92% in August, then dropped -21.65% in September, after China announced a ban on ICOs.<\/p>\n

In 2020, the Eth price was up around 25%, followed by a 17% pullback in September, and in August 2021, ETH found itself up some 35% only to retrace by 12% in September.<\/p>\n

Not everyone is bearish on Eth<\/h2>\n

Despite the undeniable pattern, not all analysts are bearish. Standard Chartered Bank recently forecast<\/a> ETH price to reach $7,500 by year-end 2025, with a longer-term target of $12,000 in 2026 and $18,000 by 2027.<\/p>\n

On August 13, 2025, Tom Lee told<\/a> CNBC that he expects Ethereum to \u201ckeep charging ahead\u201d with upside propelled by ETF inflows and institutional adoption pushing the price above $7,000 a coin.<\/p>\n

While the data suggests ETH faces a seasonal headwind in September, especially after a strong August, if ETH can buck its September curse, a bullish Q4 awaits.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With September just around the corner, Ethereum bulls are jittery, since the ninth month of the calendar year has typically been associated with weakness by the number-two coin. With an average loss of -6.42% since 2016, September is the single worst-performing month for Ethereum over most cycles. Ethereum has been on a tear, fueled by […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":230,"featured_media":495277,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,1,77968,15323],"tags":[80399,72190],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAs September looms, is Ethereum due a seasonable pullback?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ethereum has been on a tear, fueled by institutional buy-in and macro tailwinds, but if history rhymes, ETH could be due a September pullback\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/as-september-looms-is-ethereum-due-a-seasonable-pullback\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"As September 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