{"id":286787,"date":"2023-01-06T17:11:13","date_gmt":"2023-01-06T17:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=286787"},"modified":"2023-01-06T17:11:13","modified_gmt":"2023-01-06T17:11:13","slug":"btc-second-worst-ytd-since-2011-expected-to-remain-flat-through-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/btc-second-worst-ytd-since-2011-expected-to-remain-flat-through-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"BTC second-worst YTD since 2011, expected to remain flat through 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) saw its second-worst year to date (YTD) in 2022 since launch \u2014 predicted to remain flat through 2023, according to Arcane Research (AR).<\/p>\n<p>Down 65% by the end of 2022, BTC performed worse on only one other occasion \u2014 in 2018, down 73% on the YTD.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_286790\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-286790\" style=\"width: 1284px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-286790\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/arcane.png\" alt=\"Source: Arcane Research\" width=\"1284\" height=\"722\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/arcane.png 1284w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/arcane-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/arcane-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/arcane-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1284px) 100vw, 1284px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-286790\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Arcane Research<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Compared to gold and S&P 500, cryptocurrencies took the biggest hit to value in 2022 \u2014 falling sharply in May 2022 and mid-June 2022, according to AR data.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The crypto winter of 2022 was fueled by tightening macro conditions and vastly exacerbated by crypto-specific leverage and awful risk management by core market participants.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>AR said that \u2014 if reached in 2023 \u2014 the next BTC market bottom &#8220;will be the longest-lasting BTC drawdown ever.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;2023 prediction: Bitcoin will trade in a predominantly flat range this year, but close 2023 at a higher price than the yearly open.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>After a year of central bank tightening, 2022 became &#8220;one big dollar trade,&#8221; as assets all became repriced while the dollar became more expensive, according to AR data.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;In 2022, the Federal Reserve's effective funds rate grew from 0% to 4.25%, leading to a massive repricing of risk assets that all benefitted from easy money and a low-interest rate regime in late 2022 and throughout 2021.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>AR predicted that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates throughout the first half of 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) saw its second-worst year to date (YTD) in 2022 since launch \u2014 predicted to remain flat through 2023, according to Arcane Research (AR). Down 65% by the end of 2022, BTC performed worse on only one other occasion \u2014 in 2018, down 73% on the YTD. Compared to gold and S&#038;P 500, cryptocurrencies [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1398,"featured_media":286796,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,77873],"tags":[],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>BTC second-worst YTD since 2011, expected to remain flat through 2023<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is predicted to remain flat through 2023, following its second-worst year to date in 2022, according to Arcane Research.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/btc-second-worst-ytd-since-2011-expected-to-remain-flat-through-2023\/\" 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