{"id":285224,"date":"2022-12-30T17:00:18","date_gmt":"2022-12-30T17:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=285224"},"modified":"2022-12-30T16:53:34","modified_gmt":"2022-12-30T16:53:34","slug":"metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility\/","title":{"rendered":"On-chain metrics signal upcoming BTC volatility"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The open futures interest and the futures estimated leverage ratio metrics had reached their highest levels for over a month, which indicates an upcoming Bitcoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\/\">BTC<\/a>) volatility, according to Glassnode data analyzed by <em>CryptoSlate.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Futures open interest<\/h2>\n<p>The futures open interest metric reflects the USD value of the total amount of funds allocated in open futures contracts.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285222\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285222\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-285222 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1.png\" alt=\"BTC futures open interest\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1.png 1800w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-open-interest-btc-all-exchanges-1-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285222\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Futures Open Interest<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The chart above shows the BTC futures open interest on a daily basis since Oct. 17. As of Dec. 30, the metric exceeded over 500,000 BTC, marking its highest level for over a month.<\/p>\n<h2>Futures estimated leverage ratio.<\/h2>\n<p>The Futures Estimated Leverage Ratio is a metric that represents the ratio between the open interest in futures contracts and the balance of the corresponding exchange.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285221\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285221\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-285221 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges.png\" alt=\"BTC Futures Estimated Leverage Ratio\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges.png 1800w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-futures-estimated-leverage-ratio-all-exchanges-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285221\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Futures Estimated Leverage Ratio<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The estimated leverage ratio fell as low as 0.3 on Dec. 5 after the FTX collapse. However, it quickly started to recover after Dec. 12. The ratio nearly increased by around 10% in 20 days to see 0.34 on Dec. 30.<\/p>\n<h2>Binance liquidations<\/h2>\n<p>In addition to metrics signaling potential volatility, data from Binance indicates that Binance will contribute to the price swings.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-285223\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"484\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-14.png 960w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-14-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-14-768x387.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A short liquidations cluster has formed in Binance between the prices of $16,650 and $16,940. The current BTC price lingers around $16,547 at the time of writing, only $100 away from entering the cluster zone.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The open futures interest and the futures estimated leverage ratio metrics had reached their highest levels for over a month, which indicates an upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) volatility, according to Glassnode data analyzed by CryptoSlate. Futures open interest The futures open interest metric reflects the USD value of the total amount of funds allocated in open [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1262,"featured_media":285237,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,77873],"tags":[],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>On-chain metrics signal upcoming BTC volatility<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Futures open interest and estimated leverage ratio reached the highest levels for over a month.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"On-chain metrics signal upcoming BTC volatility\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Futures open interest and estimated leverage ratio reached the highest levels for over a month.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-30T17:00:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-30T16:53:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image_2022-12-30_215238540.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Zeynep Geylan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Zeynep Geylan\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/metrics-signal-upcoming-btc-volatility\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/zeynep-geylan\/#person\",\"name\":\"Zeynep Geylan\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/zeynep-geylan\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/zeynep-geylan\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/zeynep-geylan\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/zeynep-geylan-author-300x300.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/zeynep-geylan-author-300x300.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Zeynep Geylan\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Journalist\",\"description\":\"Zeynep is an academic who turned to crypto in 2018. 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