{"id":268754,"date":"2022-10-21T18:43:41","date_gmt":"2022-10-21T17:43:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=268754"},"modified":"2022-10-21T18:43:41","modified_gmt":"2022-10-21T17:43:41","slug":"bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks\/","title":{"rendered":"Research: Bitcoin weathers macro headwinds as Dow Jones sinks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since mid-September, Bitcoin has been &#8220;crabbing,&#8221; or moving sideways, between $18,100 and $20,500.<\/p>\n<p>The noticeably flat price action has given rise to remarks such as BTC is dead and forex trading is the new crypto trading.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_269065\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-269065\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-269065 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/BTCUSDT_2022-10-20_12-45-37.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin daily chart\" width=\"1280\" height=\"581\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/BTCUSDT_2022-10-20_12-45-37.png 1280w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/BTCUSDT_2022-10-20_12-45-37-300x136.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/BTCUSDT_2022-10-20_12-45-37-1024x465.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/BTCUSDT_2022-10-20_12-45-37-768x349.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-269065\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\">BTCUSDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, taking into consideration the deteriorating macroeconomic environment, a different narrative might be that Bitcoin volatility has eased during these testing times.<\/p>\n<p>What's more, this is something that Wall Street would have picked up on.<\/p>\n<h2>Dow Jones volatility<\/h2>\n<p>The chart below maps the ten-day realized volatility spread between the 30 largest industrial stocks against Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Since October, as BTC has remained relatively flat in dollar terms, this metric has dipped below zero, indicating that the Dow Jones is now more volatile than Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_268755\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-268755\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-268755 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dow-jones-1.jpg\" alt=\"Dow Jones volatility\" width=\"777\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dow-jones-1.jpg 777w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dow-jones-1-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/dow-jones-1-768x474.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 777px) 100vw, 777px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-268755\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin Annualized Realized Volatility<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin Annualized Realized Volatility refers to actual volatility movements in the BTC options market based on defined past periods.<\/p>\n<p>Annualizing the data <span class=\"ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">assumes observations made over a particular time frame, in this case, over one week, two weeks, one month, three months, and six months, will continue over the course of a year.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows that realized volatility is at an all-time low, with all time frames currently below the one-year line.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_268756\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-268756\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-268756 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Annualized Realized Volatility\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2.png 1800w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-1-2-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-268756\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>BTC Options ATM Implied Volatility<\/h2>\n<p>Realized volatility refers to the market's assessment of past volatility measures, whereas Implied volatility is in relation to future volatility. Implied volatility generally increases during bearish markets and decreases when the market is bullish.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows all time frames for implied volatility trending downwards since late July. Currently, each of the four periods has sunk below 55%, which is encouraging for bulls.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_268757\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-268757\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-268757 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Options ATM Implied Volatility\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2.png 1800w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/vol-2-2-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-268757\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since mid-September, Bitcoin has been &#8220;crabbing,&#8221; or moving sideways, between $18,100 and $20,500. The noticeably flat price action has given rise to remarks such as BTC is dead and forex trading is the new crypto trading. However, taking into consideration the deteriorating macroeconomic environment, a different narrative might be that Bitcoin volatility has eased during [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":460,"featured_media":269540,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[77968,77921],"tags":[],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Research: Bitcoin weathers macro headwinds as Dow Jones sinks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Volatility analysis reveals Bitcoin holding firm in contrast to the Dow Jones, which is now more volatile than the leading cryptocurrency.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Research: Bitcoin weathers macro headwinds as Dow Jones sinks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Volatility analysis reveals Bitcoin holding firm in contrast to the Dow Jones, which is now more volatile than the leading cryptocurrency.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-21T17:43:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/bitcoin-dowjones.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Samuel Wan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Samuel Wan\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-weathers-macro-headwinds-as-dow-jones-sinks\/\"},\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/samuel-wan\/#person\",\"name\":\"Samuel Wan\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/samuel-wan\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/samuel-wan\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/samuel-wan\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/samuel-wan-author-300x300.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/samuel-wan-author-300x300.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Samuel Wan\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Analyst\",\"description\":\"Samuel Wan, a finance professional turned full-time crypto content creator, values individual autonomy and personal freedom in his pursuits.\",\"worksFor\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/#organization\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/x.com\/WanSamuel\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/james-van-straten\/#person\",\"name\":\"James Van Straten\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/james-van-straten\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/james-van-straten\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/james-van-straten\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/cryptoslate-james-van-straten-300x300.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/cryptoslate-james-van-straten-300x300.jpg\",\"caption\":\"James Van Straten\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Former Lead Analyst\",\"description\":\"James fervently appreciates data, technology, and trend-spotting. 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