{"id":251351,"date":"2022-07-30T13:30:31","date_gmt":"2022-07-30T12:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=251351"},"modified":"2022-08-01T12:58:08","modified_gmt":"2022-08-01T11:58:08","slug":"how-short-term-bitcoin-holders-invest-differently-to-long-term-holders-according-to-on-chain-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/how-short-term-bitcoin-holders-invest-differently-to-long-term-holders-according-to-on-chain-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Research: How short-term Bitcoin holders invest differently to long-term holders according to on-chain data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Looking at on-chain data shows apparent differences in how short-term and long-term holders invest in Bitcoin. Short-term holders have been mainly buying between the $17k &#8211; $48K levels, whereas long-term holders are strong up to $60k.<\/p>\n<p>We can analyze some key graphs to understand the data better. UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows at which prices the current set of Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/glossary\/utxo\/\">UTXO<\/a>s were created. Each bar indicates the number of existing bitcoins that last moved within that specified price bucket. The price specified on the x-axis refers to the lower bound of that bucket.<\/p>\n<p>Following the 75% drawdown from the all-time high this year, 11.5% of the supply is currently held around the $17k price level. The increase in holdings between $17k and $24k may indicate a lot of demand has been swept up. Below $17.6k, all coins that have not moved must be defined as long-term holders, as Bitcoin has not dropped below this price since 2020. However, these investors can be considered mature long-term holders. The coins are lost or owners are unwilling to sell up to this point.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_251352\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-251352\" style=\"width: 1245px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-251352 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-12.png\" alt=\"utxo supply\" width=\"1245\" height=\"564\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-12.png 1245w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-12-300x136.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-12-1024x464.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-12-768x348.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1245px) 100vw, 1245px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-251352\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure: 1 | Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The following chart shows the type of cohorts buying at these price levels. The entity-adjusted version of the <a class=\"c-link\" tabindex=\"-1\" href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/metrics?a=BTC&category=&m=indicators.UtxoRealizedPriceDistributionAth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/metrics?a=BTC&category=&m=indicators.UtxoRealizedPriceDistributionAth\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\" data-remove-tab-index=\"true\">URPD Metric<\/a> offers the supply segmented by Long-Term Holders (blue), Short-Term Holders (red), and Exchange balances (grey). All supply is shown in the price bucket at which the respective entity has (on average) acquired its coins.<\/p>\n<p>Concerning Short Term Holders (holding BTC for less than 155 days), you can see the transfer of ownership from long to short-term holders around the $20k, from long-term holders capitulation sellers to HODLers or investors. They see value in these price ranges.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-251353\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-11.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1296\" height=\"726\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-11.png 1296w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-11-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-11-1024x574.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-11-768x430.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1296px) 100vw, 1296px\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>There has strong buying at psychological levels from both short and long-term holders at 20,30 and 40k. There is a lot of long-term holder supply currently underwater. It will be interesting to watch if short-term holders convert to long-term holders around the 40-50k range.<\/p>\n<p>Shrimp cohorts with less than 1 Bitcoin have been stacking Sats relentlessly throughout the price ranges. Shrimps appear unfazed by price action and have purchased a significant amount of Bitcoin at current lower price levels compared to similar historical price ranges. The black vertical bar shows the market price at the chart production timestamp.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-251354\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1288\" height=\"650\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-13.png 1288w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-13-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-13-1024x517.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-13-768x388.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1288px) 100vw, 1288px\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Interestingly, most exchange coins were bought between $30k and $49k with very little above, if any, above $40k. This information is crucial when assessing the liquidity of an exchange that holds Bitcoin on its balance sheet. At the current level of $23,800, exchanges are underwater by around 65% on the coins they have not sold.<\/p>\n<p>There has been less buying by exchanges below $30k. However, around 350K BTC was purchased at the psychological level of $20k, totaling around $7 billion at the time of sale. Addresses with less than 10k Bitcoins primarily defended the level.<\/p>\n<p>The following tweet by Prof. Chaine displays an animated version of the UDRP chart over time.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">On peut ais\u00e9ment voir cette dynamique prendre forme et l&#39;offre changer de propri\u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e8s que le prix a invalid\u00e9 le niveau des 20k $<\/p>\n<p>Depuis, pr\u00e8s de 2,6 millions de BTC, soit 13,9% de l&#39;offre en circulation ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9chang\u00e9s entre 17,8k $ et 22,5k $ <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zIDsJWhCpz\">pic.twitter.com\/zIDsJWhCpz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Prof. Cha\u00eene (@profchaine) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/profchaine\/status\/1552615534285524993?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 28, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Looking at on-chain data shows apparent differences in how short-term and long-term holders invest in Bitcoin. Short-term holders have been mainly buying between the $17k &#8211; $48K levels, whereas long-term holders are strong up to $60k. We can analyze some key graphs to understand the data better. UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows at which [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1264,"featured_media":251369,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,77921,6849,60206],"tags":[],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Research: How short-term Bitcoin holders invest differently to long-term holders according to on-chain data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Short-term Bitcoin holders buy between $17k and $48k with elevated buying from addresses owning less than 1BTC around the $20k level\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/how-short-term-bitcoin-holders-invest-differently-to-long-term-holders-according-to-on-chain-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Research: How short-term Bitcoin holders invest differently to long-term holders according to on-chain data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Short-term Bitcoin holders buy between $17k and $48k with elevated buying from addresses owning less than 1BTC around the $20k level\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/how-short-term-bitcoin-holders-invest-differently-to-long-term-holders-according-to-on-chain-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-30T12:30:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-08-01T11:58:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/bitcoin-UDRP.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Liam &#039;Akiba&#039; 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