{"id":211969,"date":"2022-01-18T01:00:32","date_gmt":"2022-01-18T01:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=211969"},"modified":"2022-01-18T11:51:41","modified_gmt":"2022-01-18T11:51:41","slug":"could-bitcoins-security-be-weakening-lets-talk-about-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/could-bitcoins-security-be-weakening-lets-talk-about-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Could Bitcoin\u2019s security be weakening? Let&#8217;s talk about it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin proponents claim that <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>\u2019s security is unquestionable and fears surrounding halving events are blown out of proportion. Critics, however, argue that transaction fees might not have the capacity to counteract the declining block rewards, driving the network\u2019s security budget down.<\/p>\n<p>While 2022 started with the Bitcoin hash rate at an all-time high (ATH), and the total miner revenue up over 400% since halving, the topic deserves attention in the light of Bitcoin payments declining.<\/p>\n<h2>Need for block subsidy<\/h2>\n<p>Designed to cap the total number of coins issued at 21 million, Bitcoin halving is a cyclical event that cuts rewards for miners in half, and occurs roughly every four years.<\/p>\n<p>According to Satoshi\u2019s vision and design, \u201cin a few decades when the reward gets too small, the transaction fee will become the main compensation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This assumption is contingent on one major fact\u2013Bitcoin becoming broadly adopted, as the network\u2019s growth is expected to drive the demand for block space, eventually decreasing the need for a block subsidy.<\/p>\n<p>According to Morgan \u201cMo\u201d Bennett, this topic needs more air time.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">9 out of 10 people holding <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#bitcoin<\/a> still have NO IDEA that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24btc&src=ctag&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$btc<\/a> security is continuously weakening.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;Yea I heard that the block reward is getting smaller, but fees are replacing it, right?&quot;<\/p>\n<p>No, not right! <\/p>\n<p>Some updated data on btc security:<\/p>\n<p>1\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mo (@MorganTBennett) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MorganTBennett\/status\/1482411627655933953?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 15, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The independent analyst pointed out that Bitcoin\u2019s security budget, which protects the network against 51% attacks and is represented by the block subsidy and transaction fees combined, is in constant decline during the past 11 years.<\/p>\n<p>Referencing CoinMetrics\u2019 data, he argued that this holds true\u2013both in relation to the Bitcoin market cap and Bitcoin transaction volume.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_211970\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-211970\" style=\"width: 1678px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-211970 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin security budget relative to market cap (CoinMetrics)\" width=\"1678\" height=\"1104\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics.jpeg 1678w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics-300x197.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics-1024x674.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics-768x505.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/1-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-marcet-cap-CoinMetrics-1536x1011.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1678px) 100vw, 1678px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-211970\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin security budget relative to market cap (CoinMetrics)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure id=\"attachment_211971\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-211971\" style=\"width: 1224px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-211971 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/2-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-transaction-volume-CoinMetrics.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin security budget relative to transaction volume (CoinMetrics)\" width=\"1224\" height=\"822\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/2-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-transaction-volume-CoinMetrics.jpeg 1224w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/2-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-transaction-volume-CoinMetrics-300x201.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/2-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-transaction-volume-CoinMetrics-1024x688.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/2-Bitcoin-security-budget-relative-to-transaction-volume-CoinMetrics-768x516.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1224px) 100vw, 1224px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-211971\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin security budget relative to transaction volume (CoinMetrics)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Furthermore, he argued that \u201cif fees were to replace the block reward, the ratio of fees over-issuance (F\/I) would go up forever,\u201d but as he pointed it recently dropped to 2013 levels.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_211972\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-211972\" style=\"width: 1912px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-211972 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin: Fee-Issuance ratio (CoinMetrics)\" width=\"1912\" height=\"1270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics.jpeg 1912w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics-300x199.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics-1024x680.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics-768x510.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/3-Bitcoin-Fee_Issuance-ratio-CoinMetrics-1536x1020.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1912px) 100vw, 1912px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-211972\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin: Fee-Issuance ratio (CoinMetrics)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Demand for blockspace<\/h2>\n<p>The worry of the cost to attack the network being in decline relative to the financial incentive to protect it has to be put into perspective, since, finally, the real cost of 51% hash power is incredibly large.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the Bitcoin hash rate is at an ATH.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_211973\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-211973\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-211973 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin hash rate: Seven day MA (Glassnode)\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1153\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-1024x577.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-hash-rate\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-1536x865.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-211973\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin hash rate: Seven day MA (Glassnode)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"color: #5d5d5e; font-family: merriweather, serif; font-size: 16px;\">At the same time, Bitcoin miner revenue is up over 400% since halving.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_211975\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-211975\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-211975\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-miner-revenue\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-miner-revenue\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode.jpeg 1000w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-miner-revenue\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-300x173.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/4-Bitcoin-miner-revenue\u2013-seven-day-MA-Glassnode-768x442.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-211975\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin miner revenue: Seven day MA (Glassnode)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, while Bitcoin's price increased by 60% during the past year, its usage at businesses that use its payment system decreased to roughly 65% of processed transactions, compared to 92% in 2020, <i>Bloomberg<\/i> reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-s-dominance-of-crypto-payments-is-starting-to-erode\">referencing<\/a> a major crypto payment processor BitPay.<\/p>\n<p>But, at this point in the game, the Bitcoin scalability issue is being answered on several playfields.<\/p>\n<p>Lightning on Layer 2 and Schnorr signature compatibility and Taproot support on Layer 1 are examples of scalability solutions that are built to answer the mass adoption call.<\/p>\n<p>Will Bitcoin need to adapt? Without a doubt. It already is.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, its appeal and security are both being driven and reinforced by its adoption, assured the lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode, an on-chain data and intelligence platform for the crypto markets.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Is bitcoin closer to, or further away from global reserve asset status over the last 4yrs?<\/p>\n<p>If closer, dont worry about demand for blockspace.<\/p>\n<p>If further away, then worry.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; _Checkmate.btc \ud83d\udd11\u26a1\ud83e\uddac\ud83c\udf0bcheckonchain.com\ud83c\udf0b (@_Checkmatey_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_Checkmatey_\/status\/1482825087044632578?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 16, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIs Bitcoin closer to, or further away from global reserve asset status over the last four years? If closer, don't worry about demand for blockspace. If further away, then worry,\u201d concluded Checkmate on Twitter, adding that \u201cwe have many decades before this is a real issue, and a great deal will be completed and advanced by then.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin proponents claim that Bitcoin\u2019s security is unquestionable and fears surrounding halving events are blown out of proportion. Critics, however, argue that transaction fees might not have the capacity to counteract the declining block rewards, driving the network\u2019s security budget down. While 2022 started with the Bitcoin hash rate at an all-time high (ATH), and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":699,"featured_media":212000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,120,61715],"tags":[76769],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Could Bitcoin\u2019s security be weakening? 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In her Ph.D., she focused on the diffusion and adoption of new technologies. Her research on the spread of technological innovation in ancient societies led to a modern-day fascination with crypto and it\u2019s real-time evolution. She is currently based in Berlin immersed in the vibrant scenes of both Crypto and Techno.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/ana-grabundzija\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Could Bitcoin\u2019s security be weakening? 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