{"id":175584,"date":"2020-11-09T20:00:32","date_gmt":"2020-11-09T20:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=175584"},"modified":"2020-11-09T19:25:28","modified_gmt":"2020-11-09T19:25:28","slug":"famed-technical-analyst-bitcoin-risks-short-term-top-or-consolidation-after-big-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/famed-technical-analyst-bitcoin-risks-short-term-top-or-consolidation-after-big-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Famed technical analyst: Bitcoin risks short-term top or consolidation after big fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>John Bollinger, the famed technical analyst, believes Bitcoin could be heading down for lower. On the day, BTC dropped 4.5% since its peak following the explosive rally of the U.S. stock market.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\">Bitcoin<\/a>, gold, and other stores of value sharply pulled back after Pfizer reportedly announced a major vaccine milestone. Pfizer said its study on 44,000 individuals has shown its vaccine is highly effective.<\/p>\n<p>Upon the news, the U.S. stock market soared, reading Bitcoin and gold to plummet in a short period.<\/p>\n<h2>Why does the Bollinger Band suggest consolidation?<\/h2>\n<p>The Bollinger Band is a technical indicator developed by Bollinger in the 1980s that show support and resistance zones.<\/p>\n<p>If the price of an asset hits the upper band, it suggests it is overbought. Vice versa, if it drops to the lower band, it indicates an oversold trend.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_175585\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-175585\" style=\"width: 1481px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-175585\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-5.png\" alt=\"bitcoin price\" width=\"1481\" height=\"868\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-5.png 1481w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-5-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-5-1024x600.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-5-768x450.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1481px) 100vw, 1481px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-175585\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The daily chart of Bitcoin with Bollinger Bands. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bbands\/status\/1325844886071910400\">John Bollinger<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/\">BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Following a prolonged rally since September, the daily chart of Bitcoin is now hovering just below the top of the Bollinger Bands. Bollinger <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bbands\/status\/1325844886071910400\">wrote<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cShort-term topping pattern at the upper Bollinger Band suggests a correction of the recent gains and\/or some consolidation.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Bitcoin achieving the top of the Bollinger Bands coincides with testing the $16,000 resistance area for the first time since 2017.<\/p>\n<p>In the past week, Bitcoin has <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-breaks-15k-for-first-time-since-2017-but-this-is-the-biggest-hurdle\/\">steadily treaded below $16,000<\/a>, repeatedly testing it. But, each time it neared the level, it saw a sharp pullback. This trend indicates whales are increasingly bidding on the $16,000 area.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the high level of selling pressure at $16,000, a break out above it would likely result in an attempt at a new record-high. However, until it gets broken, BTC would likely remain at risk of consolidation.<\/p>\n<h2>Analysts unfazed about the long-term trend of Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<blockquote><p>In the long term, analysts remain unfazed by the price trend of Bitcoin. PlanB, the creator of the S2F model, said \u201cstrong hand buyers\u201d and algorithms would push BTC higher. He <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/1325843354836414465\">said<\/a>:<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cNow watch how those bitcoins that some dumb weak hand sellers sold in big chucks last 4 hours will be sucked up by strong hand buyers with hundreds of smart small 0.01 BTC algorithm buys. Those BTC will disappear in deep cold storage.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A consistent narrative that has supplemented the Bitcoin rally throughout 2020 has been the surging institutional demand. The assets under management (AUM) of Grayscale is nearing $8 billion, as <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/nouriel-dr-doom-roubini-admits-bitcoin-is-a-partial-store-of-value\/\">institutional inflows continue to increase.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The confluence of the consistent accumulation of Bitcoin by institutions and the repeated retest of the most critical technical level at $16,000 could reduce the probability of a major pullback.<\/p>\n<p>Bollinger also emphasized that a consolidation phase might emerge, not necessarily a large correction.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, consolidation closely below a major pivotal area is considered an optimistic price trend. As such, as long as Bitcoin remains close to $16,000, its <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/1-63b-in-bitcoin-purchases-is-powering-the-majority-of-squares-q3-revenues\/\">macro and high-time frame technical structure remains positive.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>John Bollinger, the famed technical analyst, believes Bitcoin could be heading down for lower. On the day, BTC dropped 4.5% since its peak following the explosive rally of the U.S. stock market. Bitcoin, gold, and other stores of value sharply pulled back after Pfizer reportedly announced a major vaccine milestone. Pfizer said its study on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":187,"featured_media":175588,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,15323],"tags":[60786],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Famed technical analyst: Bitcoin risks short-term top or consolidation after big fall<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"John Bollinger believes Bitcoin would either consolidate or drop. 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