{"id":139540,"date":"2020-07-18T04:00:38","date_gmt":"2020-07-18T03:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=139540"},"modified":"2020-07-18T11:25:25","modified_gmt":"2020-07-18T10:25:25","slug":"bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s options skew suggests traders are anticipating a sharp decline"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin\u2019s consolidation trend at the lower boundary of its long-held trading range isn\u2019t showing any signs of letting up anytime soon.<\/p>\n

This isn\u2019t stopping options traders from growing increasingly cautious that a downside movement is imminent, however, as short-term BTC options skew has been caught within a firm uptrend over the past week.<\/p>\n

This indicates that traders are factoring in heightened chances of a downside movement.<\/p>\n

Although there aren\u2019t many overt signs of downside volatility being imminent, there may be a few \u201cexternal forces\u201d that could soon catalyze a selloff.<\/p>\n

Options traders don\u2019t expect Bitcoin\u2019s stability to last for too much longer<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Over the past week, Bitcoin<\/a>\u00a0has been relatively stable at around $9,200.<\/p>\n

Both buyers and sellers have attempted to garner some momentum, although each attempt has proven to be fleeting.<\/p>\n

This price action has come about as BTC sees a decline in both its trading volume and liquidity \u2013 with both of these factors contributing to its ongoing downtrend.<\/p>\n

Because $9,000 appears to be a strong base of support for the digital asset, it remains unclear as to whether or not sellers will be able to break this level.<\/p>\n

Options traders, however, do seem to think that a downside movement is imminent.<\/p>\n

According to data<\/a> from analytics platform Skew<\/a>, short-term Bitcoin options skew has seen a notable climb throughout the past week.<\/p>\n

\u201cMarket turning cautious? Short-term Bitcoin options skew rallied strong this week.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\"Bitcoin\"
Data Source: Skew<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Options skew essentially represents the implied volatility of specific contracts based on their expiry dates.<\/p>\n

Contracts with a high skew indicate that investors are pricing in a higher likelihood of downside volatility.<\/p>\n

While looking towards the chart offered by the analytics platform, it is clear that traders are pricing in downside volatility for the next month. This expectation declines while looking towards longer time frames like three months and six months.<\/p>\n

What could catalyze this downside volatility?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Although there are no clear catalysts for a sharp near-term decline, one analytics firm revealed that there are some \u201cexternal forces\u201d stopping Bitcoin from rallying.<\/p>\n

CryptoSlate reported on these factors<\/a> earlier this week, citing a Glassnode<\/a> report that points towards two primary factors that are stopping BTC from seeing any upwards momentum.<\/p>\n

They postulate that lack of clarity surrounding Bitcoin\u2019s status as a \u201csafe-haven\u201d asset and growing uncertainty regarding how this consolidation phase will ultimately resolve are both suppressing its price action.<\/p>\n

Because the crypto has been seeing heightened correlations with the S&P 500 in recent weeks, a decline in the stock market could drag it lower.<\/p>\n

Until this correlation breaks, investors may continue moving to the sidelines as they await greater clarity into the crypto\u2019s mid-term outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin\u2019s consolidation trend at the lower boundary of its long-held trading range isn\u2019t showing any signs of letting up anytime soon. This isn\u2019t stopping options traders from growing increasingly cautious that a downside movement is imminent, however, as short-term BTC options skew has been caught within a firm uptrend over the past week. This indicates […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":174,"featured_media":139551,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120,15323],"tags":[60786,63036],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin\u2019s options skew suggests traders are anticipating a sharp decline<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Options traders are growing cautious that a downside movement is imminent, as short-term Bitcoin options skew has been climbing.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s options skew suggests traders are anticipating a sharp decline\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Options traders are growing cautious that a downside movement is imminent, as short-term Bitcoin options skew has been climbing.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-07-18T03:00:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-07-18T10:25:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/bitcoin-sharp.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Cole Petersen\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Cole Petersen\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoins-options-skew-suggests-traders-are-anticipating-a-sharp-decline\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/cole-petersen\/#person\",\"name\":\"Cole Petersen\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/cole-petersen\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/cole-petersen\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/cole-petersen\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/author-cole-petersen.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/author-cole-petersen.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Cole Petersen\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Journalist\",\"description\":\"Cole is a freelance journalist and university student studying philosophy. 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