{"id":138375,"date":"2020-07-05T14:00:07","date_gmt":"2020-07-05T13:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=138375"},"modified":"2020-07-06T03:06:12","modified_gmt":"2020-07-06T02:06:12","slug":"defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further\/","title":{"rendered":"DeFi&#8217;s Compound (COMP) has crashed 50% in two weeks\u2014and it may drop further"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When Ethereum-based finance protocol <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/companies\/compound\/\">Compound<\/a> launched its native token COMP in June, it traded at $30. But due to an influx of hype which was somewhat a byproduct of market illiquidity, the altcoin shot over 1,000 percent higher, reaching an all-time high price in excess of $350.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for those who bought the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/compound\/\">COMP<\/a> at the highs, the decentralized finance-centric ERC-20 token has since been subject to a steep retracement.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/compound\/\">CryptoSlate coin data<\/a>, the cryptocurrency now trades for $185 as of this article's writing. That is approximately 50 percent lower than COMP's all-time high \u2014 and that loss has been realized just in two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>A large portion of these losses was incurred following the altcoin's listing in Coinbase. Analysts have said that since <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/companies\/coinbase\/\">Coinbase<\/a> was one of the first &#8220;mainstream&#8221; crypto exchanges to list COMP, that was the first venue through which many holders could sell their coins.<\/p>\n<p>Investors in the cryptocurrency, unfortunately, may be subject to further losses as analysts have claimed that the DeFi token may be intrinsically overvalued.<\/p>\n<h2>The Ethereum-based Compound (COMP) is poised to collapse, analysts say<\/h2>\n<p>Even after its 50 percent decline from the highs, Compound is still a massive cryptocurrency. CryptoSlate's crypto leaderboard <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/\">shows<\/a> that the asset<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/compound-users-now-supplying-over-1-billion-in-eth-assets-comp-a-top-25-altcoin\/\"> is the 28th largest digital asset in circulation<\/a> \u2014 despite it being established in March and publicly launched in June.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thetaseek\/status\/1278651010701914114\">According to a new analysis<\/a> by trader &#8220;Theta Seek,&#8221; who has closely tracked the DeFi boom, COMP may have further to fall. He <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thetaseek\/status\/1278651010701914114\">released<\/a> an extensive thread on his thoughts about the altcoin on Jul. 2nd.<\/p>\n<p>The premise of the thread was that he's publicly short on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/compound-holds-massive-influence-over-3-major-tokens-breaking-down-the-comp-effect\/\">COMP<\/a>, writing that the &#8220;fundamentals of [Compound's] &#8216;governance', given the public information, don't make too much sense today.&#8221; Theta added that he wouldn't be surprised to see another 50 percent decline to take the cryptocurrency below $100.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">1\/ I&#39;m short on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24COMP&src=ctag&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$COMP<\/a>, the fundamentals of the &#39;governance&#39;, given the public information, don&#39;t make too much sense today. <\/p>\n<p>Won&#39;t be surprised to see it fall below $100 unless a revenue model is proposed soon. &#8211; Read full thread..<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Theta Seek (@thetaseek) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thetaseek\/status\/1278651010701914114?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 2, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Theta's basic thesis came down to the fact that businesses with assets under management (AUM) \u2014 like funds, financial service providers, and so on \u2014 are &#8220;normally valued at less than 1\/3 or 1\/4&#8221; of its AUM figure.<\/p>\n<p>His example of this was BlockFi, which is valued at &#8220;around $200 million&#8221; despite it holding $650 million in assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.<\/p>\n<p>At a price of ~$200, the fully diluted market capitalization of COMP is around $2 billion when the underlying Compound protocol only holds $1 billion. This led him to the conclusion:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;IMHO, the fair value of the token, (assuming similar long term profitability as other crypto AUM businesses) should be at around $50 today.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Data shared by venture capitalist Julien Thevenard has seemingly corroborated this. He <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JulienThevenard\/status\/1274728751050510337\">shared<\/a> data on Jun. 21 indicating that COMP was trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200 times.<\/p>\n<p>A price-to-earnings ratio is often used to value stocks. While COMP is not a stock, this method of valuation may suggest it is overvalued, as many companies trade in the 10-30 PE ratio range.<\/p>\n<h2>Is DeFi a bubble?<\/h2>\n<p>While there is evidence showing that COMP is likely to drop, not the same can be said about other Ethereum-based DeFi tokens.<\/p>\n<p>Crypto venture investor and analyst Andrew Kang released a 25-part thread on why DeFi isn't in a bubble. As <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/vc-argues-defi-isnt-a-bubble-as-chainlink-compound-and-more-go-parabolic\/\">reported by CryptoSlate previously<\/a>, Kang's argument boiled down to a few main points:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ethereum DeFi still has less than one percent of the daily active users of ETH.<\/li>\n<li>Asian money, which largely drove 2017 and 2018's altcoin mania, is starting to flood back into crypto, especially into DeFi.<\/li>\n<li>And there have been strong technological developments in this segment of the blockchain space.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When Ethereum-based finance protocol Compound launched its native token COMP in June, it traded at $30. But due to an influx of hype which was somewhat a byproduct of market illiquidity, the altcoin shot over 1,000 percent higher, reaching an all-time high price in excess of $350. Unfortunately for those who bought the COMP at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":170,"featured_media":138454,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46940,15323],"tags":[65197],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>DeFi&#039;s Compound (COMP) has crashed 50% in two weeks\u2014and it may drop further<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DeFi&#039;s Compound (COMP) has crashed 50% in two weeks\u2014and it may drop further\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When Ethereum-based finance protocol Compound launched its native token COMP in June, it traded at $30. But due to an influx of hype which was somewhat a byproduct of market illiquidity, the altcoin shot over 1,000 percent higher, reaching an all-time high price in excess of $350. Unfortunately for those who bought the COMP at [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-07-05T13:00:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-07-06T02:06:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/compound-crash.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nick Chong\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Nick Chong\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/defis-compound-comp-has-crashed-50-in-two-weeks-and-it-may-drop-further\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/nick-chong\/#person\",\"name\":\"Nick Chong\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/nick-chong\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/nick-chong\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/nick-chong\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/nick-chong-author-300x300.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/nick-chong-author-300x300.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Nick Chong\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Analyst\",\"description\":\"A decentralist at heart, Nick has shown interest in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies since 2013. 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He has since joined this industry as a full-time content creator, focusing on written content and visuals. Aside from working with other leading trade publications, Nick is a part-time creative at HTC's Bitcoin division, EXODUS. He is based in Canada. He owns a small amount of Bitcoin.","url":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/nick-chong\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138375"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/170"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=138375"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138375\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":138455,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138375\/revisions\/138455"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/138454"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=138375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=138375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=138375"},{"taxonomy":"prediction_market_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/prediction_market_topic?post=138375"},{"taxonomy":"post_folder","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_folder?post=138375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}