{"id":126914,"date":"2020-03-03T21:00:42","date_gmt":"2020-03-03T21:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=126914"},"modified":"2020-03-03T21:06:19","modified_gmt":"2020-03-03T21:06:19","slug":"quant-crypto-fund-bitcoin-is-just-as-susceptible-to-market-panic-as-other-assets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/quant-crypto-fund-bitcoin-is-just-as-susceptible-to-market-panic-as-other-assets\/","title":{"rendered":"Quant crypto fund: Bitcoin is just as &#8220;susceptible to market panic&#8221; as other assets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Quantitative crypto fund <a href=\"https:\/\/strixleviathan.com\">Strix Leviathan<\/a> says the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty could be false\u2014considering last week\u2019s nearly unprecedented stock market sell-off, where the S&P 500 suffered its sharpest correction since the 2008 financial crisis and BTC shed nearly <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-bitcoin-price-just-dropped-below-9k-in-steep-reversal-liquidating-83-million-in-longs\/\">15 percent<\/a> in USD terms.<\/p>\n<p>The number-one cryptocurrency by market capitalization started to tumble in tandem with the S&P on February 19 as market panic ensued on account of the novel coronavirus. With nearly <a href=\"https:\/\/gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com\/apps\/opsdashboard\/index.html#\/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6\">3,200 deaths<\/a> and 91,000 cases of the virus having been reported across 85 countries, the pandemic appears to have triggered a flight to safety in global markets.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_126915\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-126915\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tradingview.com\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-126915\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-1024x429.png\" alt=\"BTC vs SPX\" width=\"1024\" height=\"429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-1024x429.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-768x322.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-1536x643.png 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-9.25.28-AM-2048x858.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-126915\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTCUSD vs. S&P 500 &#8211; Tradingview<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Digital gold no more?<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin has consolidated its reputation as a risk-off asset in recent months, with many having <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/from-magic-internet-money-to-digital-gold-has-bitcoin-has-become-a-safe-haven-asset\/\">cited<\/a> the coin\u2019s correlation with gold, in January, after the United States' lethal drone strike on the Iranian military commander-in-chief.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, analysts like Andrew Kang argued Bitcoin's price movement during the US-Iran affair proved the market had &#8220;strengthened its belief&#8221; in BTC as a store of value and hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin has never shown much correlation to gold or other SOVs. That is, until now.<\/p>\n<p>This is incredibly bullish for BTC.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#39;s Why ? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nyOI0Swkge\">pic.twitter.com\/nyOI0Swkge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Andrew Kang (@Rewkang) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Rewkang\/status\/1214983170862399488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 8, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>Risk-on or risk-off? Maybe too early to say<\/h2>\n<p>But <a href=\"https:\/\/strixleviathan.com\/blog\/2020\/3\/2\/february-market-commentary\">according to Strix<\/a>, Bitcoin\u2019s latest downtrend suggests that the so-called \u2018digital gold\u2019 may be no less \u201csusceptible to market panic\u201d than other assets during risk-off market cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Gold, a prototypical risk-off asset, has expectedly been a strong performer during the coronavirus crisis with investors opting out of stocks in favor of more defensive positions. On February 24, just four days after the S&P started to slide south, gold broke out to make a seven-year high.<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle-based quant fund said both Bitcoin and Ethereum were affected by the global flight to safety as they are \u201cpoor currencies\u201d on account of their volatility (Ethereum plunged 25 percent over the course of the global sell-off). Ultimately, however, the hedge fund admitted it is simply too early to tell whether these cryptocurrencies qualify as risk-on or risk-off assets. They stated:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Some pundits in January pointed to Bitcoin acting like a risk-off asset as evidence of its status as a safe haven store-of-value. Others point to the risk-on behavior with crypto tracking equities throughout February as proof of its status as a speculative asset. Competing behaviors signal that the market doesn\u2019t know what Bitcoin is going to be used for at full adoption, let alone what the other thousands of crypto assets end-state will be.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Post-virus outbreak, BTC seems to have befuddled market spectators and further inspired these &#8220;competing behaviors.&#8221; Crypto analyst and trader Alex Kruger, for example, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/krugermacro\/status\/1234471452197478400\">stated<\/a> he has been trading Bitcoin as a &#8220;clear risk-on asset&#8221; in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&src=ctag&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> has been trading like a clear risk-on asset since last week. This has been surprising in some ways, unsurprising in others, and could be something valuable to keep in mind regardless. Past correlations do not matter much when in uncharted waters.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Alex Kr\u00fcger (@krugermacro) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/krugermacro\/status\/1234471452197478400?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 2, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>But one metric that does provide more clarity around the narrative of Bitcoin as a store of value\u2014albeit perhaps not a safe-haven or &#8220;risk-off&#8221; store of value\u2014is a risk-adjusted return. Even in spite of its recent downturn, BTC has retained status as a top-performing asset by Sharpe ratio, above gold, stocks, U.S. real estate, oil, bonds, and emerging currencies.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_126937\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-126937\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/charts.woobull.com\/bitcoin-risk-adjusted-return\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-126937 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-1024x513.png\" alt=\"BTC risk-adjusted returns\" width=\"1024\" height=\"513\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-1024x513.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-768x385.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-1536x770.png 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-03-at-1.35.21-PM-2048x1027.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-126937\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin risk-adjusted returns vs. other assets &#8211; Woobull<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quantitative crypto fund Strix Leviathan says the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty could be false\u2014considering last week\u2019s nearly unprecedented stock market sell-off, where the S&#038;P 500 suffered its sharpest correction since the 2008 financial crisis and BTC shed nearly 15 percent in USD terms. The number-one cryptocurrency by market capitalization started [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":126974,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Quant crypto fund: Bitcoin is just as &quot;susceptible to market panic&quot; as other assets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/quant-crypto-fund-bitcoin-is-just-as-susceptible-to-market-panic-as-other-assets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quant crypto fund: Bitcoin is just as &quot;susceptible to market panic&quot; as other assets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Quantitative crypto fund Strix Leviathan says the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty could be false\u2014considering last week\u2019s nearly unprecedented stock market sell-off, where the S&amp;P 500 suffered its sharpest correction since the 2008 financial crisis and BTC shed nearly 15 percent in USD terms. 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