{"id":124080,"date":"2020-02-04T11:00:05","date_gmt":"2020-02-04T11:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=124080"},"modified":"2020-02-04T01:03:37","modified_gmt":"2020-02-04T01:03:37","slug":"why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term\/","title":{"rendered":"Why some traders are predicting Bitcoin will revisit $8,450 in the near-term"},"content":{"rendered":"

After a bearish weekly close for bitcoin in technical terms, traders have started to become more cautious on the short-term trend of BTC. Many analysts foresee a steep short-term pullback to the $8,000s.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin rejecting $9,500 at weekly close could mean the resumption of a bearish trend<\/h2>\n

On Feb. 3, the weekly candle of bitcoin closed at $9,325 on BitMEX. While it tested the $9,500 multi-year resistance level several times before the weekly close, BTC struggled to see its momentum sustained.<\/p>\n

Had the weekly candle closed above $9,500, it would have signaled an immediate breakout and an upsurge to higher resistance levels including $10,500 and $11,500.<\/p>\n

However, the weekly candle of bitcoin closed with a fairly large wick below $9,500, leading to bearish short-term projections. In 2018, a rejection at $9,500 at a weekly level led to the retest of $6,000s, becoming a catalyst for BTC's fall to the $3,000s in December 2018.<\/p>\n

With the bitcoin block reward halving set to occur in about three months, even if the bearish trend resumes, it is not likely to see a similar price trend as it saw in 2018.<\/p>\n

The cryptocurrency exchange market landscape is also significantly different<\/a> from two years ago and direct comparisons may be far-fetched.<\/p>\n

There are three key reasons why traders are generally anticipating a sizable pullback in the market:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Total open interest on BitMEX and OKEx hit $1 billion,<\/li>\n
  2. BTC rejected at a multi-year resistance level, and<\/li>\n
  3. BTC is coming off a 50 percent upsurge<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Currently, as of February 4, the open interest on BitMEX is still over $1 billion. Although it does not warrant a pullback, it historically resulted in sharp pullbacks.<\/p>\n

    The positive funding rate on BitMEX, which means traders with long contracts have to pay short contract holders to balance the market out, could intensify a long squeeze if it occurs.<\/p>\n

    Prominent cryptocurrency trader Jacob Canfield<\/a> said<\/a>:<\/p>\n

    “Bitcoin is looking a bit scary for the bulls at the moment. The prolonged positive funding could be setting up for a pretty big long squeeze to the downside. If support breaks, it will most likely be a violent squeeze as longs cover their positions Watch for support reactions.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    Many technical signs point toward a retrace for BTC that would further stabilize the market. The pullback may end up fueling a larger upsurge for bitcoin in the medium-term.<\/p>\n

    Bullish scenario<\/h2>\n

    One cryptocurrency trader known as Trader XO said that even if the bitcoin price drops to $7,600, it would present a highly bullish structure approaching halving. The trader said<\/a>:<\/p>\n

    “If the local top is in & BTC prints a HL between 7.6k – 8.2k – then my bias would be bullish. Breaking below 7.6k's more so the yearly open then quite likely BTC drops further lower, continuing its bearish market structure towards 5.8 – 6k.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    \"bitcoin
    Source: Trader XO Twitter<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

    Traders are anticipating a minor correction to $8,000s primarily to alleviate pressure from the market and establish a stronger floor for the extended Bitcoin rally.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    After a bearish weekly close for bitcoin in technical terms, traders have started to become more cautious on the short-term trend of BTC. Many analysts foresee a steep short-term pullback to the $8,000s. Bitcoin rejecting $9,500 at weekly close could mean the resumption of a bearish trend On Feb. 3, the weekly candle of bitcoin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":187,"featured_media":124112,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120],"tags":[],"prediction_market_topic":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhy some traders are predicting Bitcoin will revisit $8,450 in the near-term<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After a bearish weekly close for bitcoin in technical terms, traders have started to become more cautious on the short-term trend of BTC.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why some traders are predicting Bitcoin will revisit $8,450 in the near-term\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"After a bearish weekly close for bitcoin in technical terms, traders have started to become more cautious on the short-term trend of BTC.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-02-04T11:00:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-02-04T01:03:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/bitcoin-woods.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Joseph Young\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Joseph Young\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/why-some-traders-are-predicting-bitcoin-will-revisit-8450-in-the-near-term\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/#person\",\"name\":\"Joseph Young\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/joseph-young\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/author-joseph-young.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/author-joseph-young.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Joseph Young\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Analyst\",\"description\":\"Joseph Young is a finance and tech journalist. 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