{"id":110879,"date":"2019-07-29T11:26:02","date_gmt":"2019-07-29T18:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/?p=110879"},"modified":"2019-11-25T06:45:59","modified_gmt":"2019-11-25T06:45:59","slug":"bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin shorts by institutional traders are high based on CFTC data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Traders were net short <a href=\"http:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/coins\/bitcoin\">Bitcoin<\/a> on Chicago Mercantile Exchange\u2019s (CME) regulated futures market based on their latest report.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/sXuYe6gL1nB3iQyS6SzCUMKkZ9YHCFT3S4sbjEBCyRS7rJiror1erYJUio5GyT0l4MjhnChZDOFVCOOExsf7zzKrKqyVH6UDh3fCR9Zg1TFb9tqZ_YrD0QLuWEV5iJ_4a8puKzjo\" alt=\"CFTC market information table\" width=\"1600\" height=\"901\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cftc.gov\/dea\/futures\/deacmelf.htm\">CFTC<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report released Friday, July 26 shows that both commercial and non-commercial traders held a combined 4,464 short contracts to 3,216 longs on CME, skewing the balance 58% to 42% in favor of the bears.<\/p>\n<h2>Breaking down the COT Report for Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>Published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the COT report details the positions of traders in regulated futures venues for commodities including currency, petroleum, metals, and grains. It is considered one of the CTFC\u2019s core responsibilities in reducing risk in the US futures and swaps markets.<\/p>\n<p>The report is widely used as a signal for futures traders in all markets, giving a record of how institutional and retail participants are positioned and how their holdings have changed over time.<\/p>\n<p>Since the December 2017 launch of the sole regulated BTC futures contracts, CME and that of the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/chicago-board-options-exchange-delists-bitcoin-futures\/\">now-defunct Chicago Board Options Exchange<\/a> (Cboe), COT data has become a popular means of gauging institutional sentiment for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2>Majority of traders are short, especially commercial traders<\/h2>\n<p>Notably, the most recent COT report reveals that all commercial traders were short July 23rd, as were the bulk of non-commercials traders\u2014suggesting Bitcoin\u2019s recent bear-trend may continue.<\/p>\n<p>Where retail traders may tend to pay particular attention to the activity of non-commercial traders such as hedge funds speculating on the short-term price fluctuations of Bitcoin, commercial positions can also offer insight into future price trends.<\/p>\n<p>Commercial traders, typically seen in conventional futures markets to be banks and other large financial institutions, use Bitcoin futures to hedge against sudden movements. In practice, these traders usually shift to long at mid-to-long-term market bottoms, and switch gears to short at market tops.<\/p>\n<h2>Open interest suggests longs being liquidated<\/h2>\n<p>The market\u2019s decrease in open interest along with declining price would tend to suggest that traders are terminating their long positions and exiting the market. Typically, one would expect open interest to stabilize before a sustained rally.<\/p>\n<p>The findings of the latest COT report\u2014including a decrease in open interest, the commercials\u2019 total short position, and the net short position of the non-commercials, may indicate that Bitcoin will see lower lows before resuming its long-term uptrend.<\/p>\n<p>Soon, the futures physically-settled Bitcoin futures market may soon provide a more accurate gauge of sentiment. ICE-owned Bakkt and the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/ledgerx-wins-cftc-approval-crypto-settled-bitcoin-futures\/\">recently-licenced LedgerX<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/physically-settled-bitcoin-futures-contracts-bakkt-user-testing\/\">aim<\/a> to provide greater opportunity for institutional price discovery.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traders were net short Bitcoin on Chicago Mercantile Exchange\u2019s (CME) regulated futures market based on their latest report. Data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report released Friday, July 26 shows that both commercial and non-commercial traders held a combined 4,464 short contracts to 3,216 longs on CME, skewing the balance 58% to 42% in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":96048,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15323,6849],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.9 (Yoast SEO v21.9.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin shorts by institutional traders are high based on CFTC data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Most traders were net short Bitcoin on Chicago Mercantile Exchange\u2019s (CME) regulated futures market as of Tuesday July 23.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin shorts by institutional traders are high based on CFTC data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Most traders were net short Bitcoin on Chicago Mercantile Exchange\u2019s (CME) regulated futures market as of Tuesday July 23.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoSlate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-07-29T18:26:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-11-25T06:45:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/bitcoin-stock-market-social.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jonnie Emsley\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Bitcoin shorts by institutional traders are high based on CFTC data\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoslate\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jonnie Emsley\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/bitcoin-shorts-institutional-traders-cftc\/\"},\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/jonnie-emsley\/#person\",\"name\":\"Jonnie Emsley\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/jonnie-emsley\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/jonnie-emsley\/\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/author\/jonnie-emsley\/#authorimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/author-jonnie-emsley.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/author-jonnie-emsley.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jonnie Emsley\"},\"jobTitle\":\"Contributor\",\"description\":\"Jonnie is a writer and blockchain enthusiast based in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. 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