That figure marks an over 50% increase overall, with just 30% of bettors predicting the political dysfunction would end within the same timeframe on the morning of November 7. Should the Polymarket bettors’ prediction come true, it would signify an end to the longest government shutdown in American history.
According to the poll titled “When will the Government shutdown end?” 88% of participating Polymarket bettors believe the U.S. government shutdown will come to an end on Friday at the latest.
A minority of Democrats helped to advance a deal on Sunday that would see the U.S. government funded through January in exchange for Republicans agreeing to a mid-December vote on prolonging health care tax credits. The deal also needs to be officially approved by the House of Representatives and signed by current U.S. President Donald Trump.
News of the prediction market’s latest figures comes as U.S. lawmakers inch closer toward finally reaching an agreement that would formally put an end to the nearly month-long shutdown.
