Polymarket | The World&#x27;s Largest Prediction Market™

25 bps decrease

14%

Yes14%No86%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

14%

Yes14%No86%

$80m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...?

February 13

10%

February 20

18%

Yes18%No82%

February 13

10%

February 20

18%

Yes18%No82%

$206m Vol.

BTC 15 Minute Up or Down

47%

Down

Live

$20m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 85,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↑ 80,000

28%

Yes28%No72%

↑ 85,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↑ 80,000

28%

Yes28%No72%

$42m Vol.

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

80%

Yes80%No20%

United States

17%

Yes17%No83%

Norway

80%

Yes80%No20%

United States

17%

Yes17%No83%

$4m Vol.

Pistons

57%

Hornets

43%

Pistons

Hornets

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Bulls

63%

Nets

38%

Bulls

Nets

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

68%

Yes68%No32%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

Anthropic

68%

Yes68%No32%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

$4m Vol.

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

76%

chance

Yes

$1m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?

97%

Down

$180k Vol.

How many viewers will the Big Game have?

120-124M

10%

124-128M

20%

Yes20%No80%

120-124M

10%

124-128M

20%

Yes20%No80%

$86k Vol.

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks

11%

Yes11%No89%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No91%

Seattle Seahawks

11%

Yes11%No89%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No91%

NEW

•

$85k Vol.

Starmer out by...?

February 28

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

February 28

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

$4m Vol.

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

50-75M

10%

75-100M

23%

Yes23%No77%

50-75M

10%

75-100M

23%

Yes23%No77%

$130k Vol.

Claude 5 released by…?

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

12%

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

12%

$1m Vol.

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?

↑ $5,800

12%

↑ $5,500

36%

Yes36%No64%

↑ $5,800

12%