Polymarket News

Prediction markets may be providing a way of turning opinions into financial products, but they may also pose financial risks and opportunities for insider trading.

Rising retail participation incentivizes data-driven, “elite” traders to use “information asymmetry” and spreads caused by casual investors seeking a quick buck, 10x said.

Paradigm researchers found that major analytics dashboards are double-counting Polymarket’s trading volume due to redundant blockchain events.

Prediction markets offer traders more upside than holding the underlying spot crypto, but AI bots and accounts with a 100% win rate raise suspicions of insider trading.

The company has approached traders, including sports bettors, about joining the effort as it expands in the US; rival Kalshi faces scrutiny over similar practices.

Kalshi will provide real-time prediction data across CNBC’s TV, digital and subscription platforms beginning in 2026 as part of a mult-year partnership.

Select users in the US will be among the first to access the predictions platform to bet on sports event contracts, following clearance from a financial regulator for a relaunch.

Cleanspark, Riot, Cipher and Circle rose as the odds of a US rate cut in December reached the highest level of the month on the prediction market.

The approval came as the US Senate is expected to vote soon on prospective CFTC chair Michael Selig as a replacement for acting Chair Caroline Pham.

Polymarket’s onchain prediction data and fan-sentiment feeds will be integrated across UFC events, creating a new interactive layer for viewers.

PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space.

A Columbia study found that up to 60% of Polymarket’s volume may stem from wash trading, raising new concerns about artificial activity in prediction markets.

The update brings real-time forecasting data from Kalshi and Polymarket to Google Finance, as more major platforms move into the growing prediction markets space.

Prediction markets show waning confidence in Trump’s tariff authority, with both Kalshi and Polymarket traders bracing for limits on executive power.

Polymarket’s ban in Romania follows similar crackdowns in the US, France, Belgium, Poland, Singapore and Thailand, where regulators cited unlicensed gambling activity.