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Bitcoin Struggles Below $40K; Upside Limited as Trend Weakens

BTC remains in a tight trading range as the uptrend weakens. Upside appears limited this week.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:29 p.m. Published Jun 7, 2021, 11:25 a.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) failed to sustain moves above $39,000 last week, which was followed by a series of lower price highs. There is strong resistance around $37,600 which could limit upside this week.

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At press time, the largest cryptocurrency was changing hands around $36,500.

While the long-term uptrend remains intact, slowing momentum and tighter trading ranges are keeping buyers on the sideline.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) is not yet overbought on the hourly chart, which could support a brief price bounce towards $37,000 resistance.
  • The daily RSI continues to hover around oversold levels. However, the weekly RSI is not yet oversold suggesting sellers could remain in control.
  • Bitcoin is down about 2% over the past seven days and has been stuck in a tight range between $34,000 and $39,000.
  • Volatility has declined from extreme levels in May, but remains elevated relative to April.

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Bitcoin trades near key price safety net that Strategy already breached

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The safety net is the 100-week average, which has stalled the downtrend.

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  • Bitcoin trades near a critical 100-week simple moving average, a key support level for bulls.
  • Strategy shares have already fallen below this average, signaling potential bearish trends for bitcoin.
  • Bulls must defend this support to prevent further declines similar to Strategy's recent losses.