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Expectations for Even Further Bitcoin Gains Keep Lid on Futures Contracts Liquidations

Only $133 million in futures were liquidated on BitMEX as bitcoin soared above $11,400.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:06 p.m. Published Jul 28, 2020, 3:13 p.m.
Bitcoin futures liquidations on BitMEX since July 2019
Bitcoin futures liquidations on BitMEX since July 2019

Liquidated bitcoin futures contracts stay at relatively low levels despite the bellwether cryptocurrency’s daily gain of more than 10% Monday as some traders expect higher price movements.

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  • Bitcoin soared above $11,400 on Monday, but this volatility only triggered the bankruptcy price for only $133 million worth of bitcoin futures contracts on BitMEX, the leading bitcoin derivatives exchange, according to Skew.
  • Breaking above $10,500 was a critical bullish market signal for many traders since bitcoin had stayed below that price since September 2019.
  • Monday’s liquidations are less than half the amount of contracts closed by liquidation on May 10, when bitcoin briefly dropped 15% to $8,100 from a daily open of $9,500.
  • Significant bitcoin price movements generally trigger the liquidation of hundreds of millions in futures contracts by reaching pockets of market liquidity that has accumulated over time or are traded with excessive leverage.
  • “Everyone knows this is going up,” said Zoran Scekic, managing partner at cryptocurrency trading firm Zorax Capital, adding that he doesn’t think retail traders are in over-leveraged short positions at this point, which could be the reason behind relatively low levels of liquidated futures contracts.
  • Scekic expects an “abundance of liquidations” at the first moderate price correction, however, given the market's sentiment shift to bullishness.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price on Feb. 18 (CoinDesk)

Bitcoin is now on track for its fifth consecutive weekly decline, and losing this level could open the floor for a fresh leg lower.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin fell back to $66,000 on Wednesday afternoon, testing the lower end of its recent trading range.
  • Crypto-related stocks reversed early gains, with Coinbase swinging from a 3% morning rise to a 2% loss and Strategy slipping about 3%.
  • Surprisingly hawkish Fed minutes had the U.S.dollar strengthening, putting pressure on risk assets.