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Wall Street Bank Citi Sees Stablecoins Powering Crypto’s Next Growth Phase

Stablecoins are growing alongside crypto, lifting Ethereum while new networks loom and the dollar stays dominant.

Updated Oct 20, 2025, 2:20 p.m. Published Oct 20, 2025, 12:05 p.m.
Stablecoin networks (Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)
Wall Street bank Citi sees stablecoins powering crypto’s next growth phase. (Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)

What to know:

  • Stablecoins are still largely used as an entry point to crypto, with little effect on overall bank deposits but potential pressure on funding costs, the report said.
  • Ethereum benefits from the boom, but Citi warned new networks could erode the blockchain's dominance as dollar-backed coins continue to lead.

Citi (C) said stablecoins have climbed in step with the wider crypto market since the GENIUS Act passed in July, prompting its analysts to lift their 2030 market cap outlook to $1.9 trillion last month.

Stablecoins remain primarily an on-ramp to crypto and have consistently accounted for 5%–10% of total market capitalization, the bank said in the report on Friday.

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The bank's analysts expect near-term growth to move in step with the broader digital asset market.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is tied to another asset, such as the U.S. dollar or gold. They play a major role in cryptocurrency markets, providing a payment infrastructure, and are also used to transfer money internationally. Tether's USDT is the largest stablecoin, followed by Circle's USDC.

Citi argued that the effect on bank deposits will likely be modest. While funding costs and lending appetites could shift, the report drew a parallel to the rise of money market funds in the 1980s, which did not significantly disrupt overall lending.

The stablecoin boom has revived activity on the Ethereum blockchain, but the analysts warned this dominance could fade as issuers develop their own networks.

Network effects could sustain the blockchain's position for now, but it’s no longer guaranteed.

The bank sees the main driver of stablecoin adoption as their “store of value” role in emerging markets facing inflation or weak institutions. That could fuel further demand for dollar assets but may also trigger policy responses to limit dollarization. Payments, by contrast, remain a niche use case with mostly small transactions.

The dollar continues to dominate the market, though euro-denominated stablecoins are gaining from a small base. New rules in Hong Kong highlight how regulation outside the U.S. could reshape the landscape, the report said.

Read more: Stablecoins Surge to Record $314B Market Cap as Institutional Race Heats Up: Canaccord

AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

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Oleg Ogienko, director for regulatory and overseas affairs at A7A5, at Consensus in Hong Kong (provided)

Oleg Ogienko, the public face of A7A5, pitched the ruble-pegged stablecoin as a fast-growing trade rail built to move money across borders despite sanctions pressure.

What to know:

  • Oleg Ogienko, the public face of ruble-denominated stablecoin issuer A7A5, insists the firm complies fully with Kyrgyz regulations and international anti-money-laundering standards despite extensive U.S. sanctions on its affiliates.
  • A7A5, whose issuing entities and reserve bank are sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury, has grown faster than USDT and USDC and aims to handle more than 20 percent of Russia’s trade settlements, primarily serving businesses in Asia, Africa and South America trading with Russian partners.
  • Ogienko said that he and his team were developing partnerships with blockchain platforms and exchanges during Consensus in Hong Kong, though declined to name specifics.