Bitcoin Faces Mounting Pressure Below Key Cost Bases
Realized price levels highlight investor stress and looming psychological thresholds

What to know:
- Bitcoin has dropped from its $124,500 all time high to around $110,000, slipping below the 1 month and 3 month realized prices, with the 6 month realized price at $107,440 providing support.
- Glassnode warns that relief rallies may face resistance as short term holders look to exit at breakeven, while CoinDesk Research points to $108,500 and $100,000 as critical levels for sentiment.
Bitcoin
The firm noted, “Any relief rally is therefore likely to encounter resistance, as short-term holders seek to exit at breakeven.”
The asset has slipped below both the 1 month and 3 month realized prices, currently at $115,300 and $113,700. However, the 6 month realized price, at $107,440, is acting as a key support level.
Realized price represents the average purchase price of coins within a given time frame, offering insight into investor positioning and sentiment.
CoinDesk Research also notes that the short term holder realized price stands above $108,500, a level bitcoin rebounded from on Aug. 26. Meanwhile, the realized price of all 2025 buyers has declined to just over $100,000, creating another important psychological threshold should the market fall further.
This correction underscores the growing pressure on recent buyers and the importance of realized price levels in guiding market psychology.
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The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.
What to know:
- Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
- The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
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