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DOGE Prints Bullish Setup With Breakout, Pullback, and Support at $0.196

Updated Jul 16, 2025, 5:56 a.m. Published Jul 16, 2025, 5:54 a.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • DOGE rose 5.05% to $0.200, with significant trading volume and volatility.
  • Volume spiked to 464.28 million, surpassing the 24-hour average of 287.95 million.
  • DOGE faced resistance at $0.200, forming a descending micro-channel into $0.196.

What to know:

  • DOGE rose 5.05% from $0.190 to $0.200 between July 15 05:00 and July 16 04:00, trading in a $0.011 range with 5.48% volatility.
  • Volume spiked to 464.28 million during the 23:00–00:00 window, crushing the 24-hour average of 287.95 million.
  • Breakouts occurred at 12:00 and again in the evening session, lifting DOGE past $0.195 resistance.
  • Final hour showed rejection at $0.200, with short-term pullback forming a descending micro-channel into $0.196.

News Background
DOGE’s breakout follows a broader return of meme coin flows as traders rotate into volatility ahead of key macro events later this week.
Institutional footprints were visible in volume surges above $0.195, with market makers defending support levels near $0.190 during the early session.
Technical setups are now aligned with Fibonacci retracement targets around $0.197 — with $0.21 flagged as the next extension if bulls regain strength.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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Price Action Summary

  • Range: $0.190 → $0.200 | $0.011 move = 5.48% volatility
  • Breakout Level: $0.195 cleared on strong volume during 12:00 and 23:00 sessions
  • Volume High: 464.28 million (vs. 287.95 million daily average)
  • Final Hour (03:05–04:04): DOGE declined 0.24% in $0.005 range, closing at $0.198
  • Resistance: Repeated rejections at $0.200; micro-channel forming with $0.196 floor

Technical Analysis

  • Volume-backed breakout confirmed above $0.195
  • Rejections at $0.200 show near-term supply zone
  • Descending micro-channel between $0.196–$0.200 in late session
  • Fibonacci retracement highlights $0.195–$0.197 as support consolidation zone
  • Break above $0.200 with volume >400 million would confirm $0.21 push

What Traders Are Watching

  • Does DOGE hold above $0.196 to sustain breakout structure?
  • Break above $0.200–$0.202 resistance would trigger fresh upside momentum
  • Breakdown below $0.195 invalidates rally setup and reopens $0.190 retest
  • Watch for 20-minute volume bars >25 million to confirm directional shift

Takeaway
DOGE’s 5% rally was real — volume, structure, and order flow confirm institution-backed momentum.
With $0.195 now acting as a potential base, bulls are eyeing $0.21 — but only if $0.200 resistance breaks clean on volume.

Until then, the chart remains coiled.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

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