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Bitcoin Worth $1.2B Leaves Coinbase in a Sign of Persistent Institutional Adoption

Coinbase outflows represent continued institutional adoption of bitcoin as a macro asset, analytics firm Glassnode said.

Updated May 11, 2023, 4:38 p.m. Published Mar 15, 2022, 10:43 a.m.
Coinbase sees largest outflow of bitcoin since 2017. (Source: Glassnode)
Coinbase sees largest outflow of bitcoin since 2017. (Source: Glassnode)

While bitcoin's four-month bearish price action appears to have scared away retail leverage traders, institutions focused on longer-term horizons seem unperturbed.

That's evident from the recent large outflow of coins from the U.S.-based crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN), according to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode.

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  • A total of 31,130 bitcoin left Coinbase last week, the highest single-week outflow since 2017, data tracked by Glassnode shows.
  • "Large outflows like this one are actually part of a consistent trend in the Coinbase balance, which has been stair-stepping downwards over the last two years," Glassnode said in a weekly newsletter published Monday. "As the largest exchange by BTC balance, and a preferred venue for U.S. based institutions, this further supports the adoption of bitcoin as a macro asset by larger institutions."
  • The past week's outflow has pushed the number of coins held on the Nasdaq-listed exchange to a four-year low of 649,500 BTC. The balance held across all centralized exchanges has dropped to 2,519,403 BTC, the lowest number since November 2018.
  • The declining exchange balance means fewer coins are available for liquidations on the exchange. In other words, the sell-side liquidity is drying up, suggesting scope for a sharp move on the higher side, especially as the coins withdrawn from Coinbase were moved to a largely inactive wallet.
  • "If we look at the Illiquid Supply Shock Ratio (ISSR), we can see a significant uptick this week, suggesting that these withdrawn coins have been moved into a wallet with little-to-no history of spending," Glassnode said.
  • Bitcoin was last seen trading near $38,600, representing a 2% drop on the day.
Bitcoin's illiquid supply shock ratio (Glassnode)
Bitcoin's illiquid supply shock ratio (Glassnode)

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The average bitcoin ETF investor now sits on a 20% paper loss, leaving the market vulnerable to capitulation selling if prices slide further, a Wintermute trader said.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin stabilized around $67,000, avoiding a further breakdown for the moment, while altcoins lagged.
  • Policy talks at the White House on the crypto market structure bill showed incremental progress, but strains in private credit markets and potential U.S. military action against Iran loom large over risky assets
  • Crypto derivatives traders are playing defense, buying downside protection against a potential drop, the head of OTC at Wintermute noted.