
What to know:
- Thesis: Jito owns the MEV stack (Block Engine + 97.61% of validators); JTX adds a trading frontend that captures DEX fees and internalises MEV, with 80% of revenue routed back to JTO.
- Across regimes: Bear case adds ~$1.4M (~37% of total revenue); bull case layers $12-36M on top of a recovered ~$60M MEV base.
- Differentiator: Only Solana protocol doing vertical integration that already owns the client/MEV side - traders pay once, Jito captures the fee and routes through its own Block Engine.
- Overhang: 11.3M JTO/month unlocks through end-2026 (~8% of supply) is near-term sell pressure; past that, JTO stops being a pure leveraged bet on Solana activity.
The Thesis
Jito owns the MEV + validator stack on Solana. So long as there’s enough activity on-chain, they keep capturing the MEV layer by default. JTX is the additional leg: a self-custodial trading platform that pushes Jito up into the actual execution venue, capturing the DEX fee and letting them internalize the MEV that previously leaked to external searchers.
What’s interesting is that JTX cuts both ways depending on the regime. In a bear, MEV revenue compresses but JTX still earns a fee on whatever flow exists - so it ends up doing a disproportionate share of Jito’s total revenue (roughly a third in our model). In a bull, MEV recovers and dominates the absolute number, but JTX layers on tens of millions on top - same flow, captured at a second layer. With 80% of JTX revenue earmarked back to JTO, both regimes get more interesting than they were before.
The Stack
To understand Jito, easiest to break the business into the layers it touches:
- JitoSOL (LST): ~$871M TVL. Steady, but small contributor.
- Jito (Re)staking: Genuinely small from a revenue standpoint - Solana LRT TVL is ~$33M total, of which Jito accounts for ~$18M.
- Jito-Solana validator client + Block Engine: the open-source modified Agave client running in-block auctions for bundle inclusion. Searchers bid SOL tips for priority placement; validators capture those tips. 97.61% of Solana validators run the Jito client.
Both are dependent on Solana activity - i.e., the flywheel kicks in when there’s volatility on-chain, leading to higher revenue. So when DEX volumes decline, MEV is down, and Jito doesn’t make money. They still dominate the share, it’s just that the pie has shrunk.

Jito has historically owned layers 1 and 2 - the ordering layer through Block Engine and BAM (Block Assembly Marketplace), and the validator client running on 97.61% of Solana validators. The trade execution venue at layer 3 - the thing that actually kickstarts the trade - takes a cut too, and that’s the cut Jito has been missing out on.
Even in a bear, where MEV revenue compresses, layer 3 still produces some fee revenue from whatever DEX flow exists. In a bull, owning layer 3 means they capture the DEX side (and eventually perps) on top of the recovered MEV. Either way, the revenue base widens.
JTX
The Jito Foundation has been buying its way into the Solana stack rather than just sitting on treasury - most notably acquiring and reviving SolanaFloor (Solana data/analytics platform). JTX is the bigger move.
JTX is a self-custodial, all-in-one trading platform on Solana that explicitly targets traders still using CEXs. CEX-quality execution + advanced tooling (stop-loss, preset strategies, TradingView charts, on-chain limit orders) + self-custody by default. Roadmap: spot first → perpetual futures → prediction markets.
A trader using JTX is paying once for execution. Jito captures the front-end fee AND can route their own flow through their own Block Engine, internalizing the MEV that would otherwise be extracted by external searchers attacking that order. Same playbook Hyperliquid uses - vertically integrated execution where they control the matching engine, the sequencer, and the settlement layer.
A bunch of Solana protocols are doing vertical integrations right now, but the differentiator for Jito is they own the client AND the ordering layer (Block Engine + BAM)- which no one else really does. That’s the biggest reason this move makes sense and helps them stand out.
Sizing It
To put numbers on the thesis, we modelled JTX revenue across three regimes - current, bear, and bull. Assumptions:
- MEV revenue (bull): took the average of the Nov 2024 / Dec 2024 / Jan 2025 monthly MEV revenue (these were the peak months), halved that figure, and annualized - landing at ~$60M. So the bull case assumes Jito gets back to half its previous peak run-rate, not all of it. Bear keeps MEV at the current ~$2.4M annualized.
- DEX volumes (bull): $1T annualized for spot (2× current $500B run-rate) and $1.12T for perps (2× current $560B). Bear holds volumes at current levels.
- Solana share of DEX volumes: 60% spot / 15% perps in bull (recovery toward historical highs from current 50% / 10%). Bear: 40% spot / 5% perps.
- JTX share of Solana DEX volume: modelled at 5%, 10%, and 15% in bull. 2% in bear.
- Fee assumptions: 3bps spot, 3.5bps perps - in line with comparable Solana frontends.
- At the moment, Jito’s revenue base is ~$2.4M annualized and effectively all of it is MEV/other. This is a result of declining on-chain activity
- In a bear, even with a 2% share assumption, JTX adds ~$1.4M on top of the existing $2.4M base - that's ~37% of total revenue from a product that didn't exist a year ago.
- In a bull, MEV/other recovers to ~$60M annualized, and JTX adds another $12-36M depending on share capture. At the 15% share assumption, JTX is doing close to 40% of total revenue.
If you’re looking at JTX as a hedge against weak on-chain activity, the bear column is the most interesting one - it’s the regime where JTX prevents Jito from being purely a leveraged play on Solana volatility.
Token Unlocks - the other side
The bull case has a supply overhang to clear first. JTO unlocks continue at 11.3M tokens/month through the end of 2026 - roughly 8% of total supply still to hit the market over the next ~7 months. That's mechanical sell pressure regardless of what JTX adoption does in the near term, and it's the main reason this thesis isn't a cleaner setup today.
That said, the structure of the trade gets cleaner once you look past the unlocks. By early 2027, the supply overhang clears and what's left is a JTO with an additional revenue engine that works across regimes - JTX hedging the downside in a bear, layering meaningful upside in a bull. That's a different asset than today's JTO, which is essentially a leveraged bet on Solana on-chain activity.