BITCOIN SEASON 2: Can Bitcoin Go Negative? How Bitcoin Futures Contracts Work

Matt Wraith, CTO of Bitnomial, joins us to talk about the intricate world of Bitcoin futures trading. From explaining physical delivery vs cash-settled futures to exploring the wild possibilities of fork futures markets, Matt breaks down complex market mechanics with real-world examples. We dive into how chain splits could be traded, the quantum computing threat to Bitcoin, and why having oil storage matters when futures go negative.

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Notes:

- Bitnomial founded 2014, launched futures 2020

- Oil futures went negative in March 2020

- Bitcoin Cash hashrate flipped BTC post-fork

- Quantum computer threat "5 years away for 30 years"

- Physical delivery requires actual BTC transfer

- Fork futures first appeared during SegWit debate

Timestamps:

00:00 Start

01:09 Founding Bitnomial

03:32 Regulatory changes

05:16 CTO role

06:09 Multiple hats

07:29 Futures

10:08 History of futures

12:38 Physical delivery

14:48 Storage costs

17:25 Clearing house

18:27 Cash settled

21:22 Bitcoin futures history

25:23 Forks & futures

37:02 Assets on Bitcoin

41:22 Restrictions on futures

45:04 Black Swan pricing

48:18 Quantum

52:52 Presidio Bitcoin Quantum Conference

55:36 Futures as governance

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