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Inverse Head-and-Shoulders Breakout Puts XRP on Track for $2.80 Test

Failure to hold $2.50 on a closing basis would neutralize the bullish structure, potentially inviting rotation back toward $2.40–$2.42 support.

Updated Oct 25, 2025, 5:43 p.m. Published Oct 25, 2025, 6:34 a.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • XRP surged past $2.50, breaking key resistance with a 31% increase in volume above weekly averages.
  • The token's rise followed improved macro sentiment and softer U.S. inflation data, leading to risk-on flows into major altcoins.
  • Traders are watching if $2.50 holds as a new base, with sustained volume potentially pushing prices toward $2.70–$2.80.

XRP extended gains above the $2.50 mark on Thursday, breaking key resistance as volume surged 31% above weekly averages. The move came amid broader risk-on sentiment across crypto markets, with bitcoin climbing and traders rotating into high-cap tokens showing technically defined setups.

News Background

  • The token’s latest advance followed weeks of consolidation between $2.35 and $2.50, with technical strategists tracking an inverse head-and-shoulders base through mid-October.
  • Thursday’s decisive move through the neckline at $2.50 confirmed that pattern, opening a potential continuation phase toward the $2.65–$2.80 range if buying persists.
  • Market positioning shifted as macro sentiment improved. Softer U.S. inflation data and falling Treasury yields triggered risk-on flows into major altcoins. XRP outperformed the CoinDesk 5 index by roughly five percentage points, signaling asset-specific accumulation rather than sector momentum.

Price Action Summary

  • XRP climbed from $2.50 to $2.57 across the session, with intraday volume peaking at 142 million — 31% above its seven-day mean.
  • The breakout was defined by three sequential higher lows at $2.44, $2.48 and $2.51, confirming controlled accumulation through the $2.50 zone.
  • While brief profit-taking emerged near $2.58, XRP held above breakout support, suggesting institutions added exposure on retests.
  • Elevated spot volume combined with muted derivatives leverage confirmed genuine buying interest rather than short-squeeze dynamics.

Technical Analysis

  • The completed inverse head-and-shoulders formation now defines XRP’s near-term technical bias. Momentum indicators, including RSI and MACD, both turned higher on the daily chart, while volume expansion validates the strength of the move.
  • Immediate resistance lies at $2.60, followed by secondary targets near $2.80. Failure to hold $2.50 on a closing basis would neutralize the bullish structure, potentially inviting rotation back toward $2.40–$2.42 support.

What Traders Should Know

Traders are monitoring whether $2.50 holds as the new base — a level now regarded as the pivot for short-term trend confirmation. Exchange balance data shows XRP reserves down roughly 3.3% since early October, a historically bullish signal linked to whale accumulation phases.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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Open interest has stabilized and funding rates remain neutral, leaving the move largely spot-driven. Sustained volume above 130 million through the weekend could validate continuation toward $2.70–$2.80, while fading participation may trap prices back inside the $2.40–$2.55 range.

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