Stablecoins Are the ‘Quiet Winners’ of Polymarket’s Surge: Coinbase Research
Polymarket’s growth fuels USDC demand, with stablecoins driving high-velocity settlement activity.

What to know:
- Polymarket is seeking a $1 billion valuation in a funding round led by Founders Fund.
- Stablecoins like USDC are playing a crucial role in its settlement infrastructure, according to a report from Coinbase.
- The betting platform has processed over $14 billion in trading volume.
As Polymarket seeks a $1 billion valuation in a Founders Fund-led round, the “quiet winners” may be the stablecoins underpinning its settlement infrastructure, Coinbase analysts wrote in a Friday research report.
All of the platform’s trades settle in Circle’s USDC on Polygon, creating measurable demand for the dollar-pegged token. And while lending protocols lock capital in pools, prediction markets like Polymarket cycle funds at a high velocity — settling, redeploying and transferring balances continuously, the analysts said.
The platform has processed more than $14 billion in lifetime trading volume. In May alone, it cleared $1 billion, with daily active traders averaging between 20,000 and 30,000.
Meanwhile, in the immediate aftermath of U.S. President Donald Trump’s re-election in November 2024, monthly volume soared to $2.5 billion, sparking corresponding spikes in USDC transfers and bridge activity.
Such flows demonstrate how stablecoins now power real-time market infrastructure. “Momentum is likely to accelerate further with a new content partnership with X, positioning prediction markets as viral social content rather than purely financial tools,” the report said.
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Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 as U.S. recession risk builds, Mike McGlone says

McGlone links bitcoin’s downturn to record U.S. market cap-to-GDP levels, low equity volatility and rising gold prices, warning of potential contagion into stocks.
Lo que debes saber:
- Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warns that collapsing crypto prices and a potential bitcoin slide toward $10,000 could signal mounting financial stress and foreshadow a U.S. recession.
- McGlone argues the post-2008 "buy the dip" era may be ending as crypto weakens, stock market valuations sit near century highs relative to GDP, and equity volatility remains unusually low.
- Market analyst Jason Fernandes counters that a drop to $10,000 bitcoin would likely require a severe systemic shock and recession, calling such an outcome a low-probability tail risk compared with a milder reset or consolidation.










