Share this article

Stablecoins Are the ‘Quiet Winners’ of Polymarket’s Surge: Coinbase Research

Polymarket’s growth fuels USDC demand, with stablecoins driving high-velocity settlement activity.

Updated Jun 27, 2025, 6:11 p.m. Published Jun 27, 2025, 5:05 p.m.
Shayne Coplan, CEO, Polymarket, speaks at Consensus 2024. (Shutterstock/CoinDesk).
Shayne Coplan, CEO, Polymarket, speaks at Consensus 2024. (Shutterstock/CoinDesk).

What to know:

  • Polymarket is seeking a $1 billion valuation in a funding round led by Founders Fund.
  • Stablecoins like USDC are playing a crucial role in its settlement infrastructure, according to a report from Coinbase.
  • The betting platform has processed over $14 billion in trading volume.

As Polymarket seeks a $1 billion valuation in a Founders Fund-led round, the “quiet winners” may be the stablecoins underpinning its settlement infrastructure, Coinbase analysts wrote in a Friday research report.

All of the platform’s trades settle in Circle’s USDC on Polygon, creating measurable demand for the dollar-pegged token. And while lending protocols lock capital in pools, prediction markets like Polymarket cycle funds at a high velocity — settling, redeploying and transferring balances continuously, the analysts said.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters

The platform has processed more than $14 billion in lifetime trading volume. In May alone, it cleared $1 billion, with daily active traders averaging between 20,000 and 30,000.

Meanwhile, in the immediate aftermath of U.S. President Donald Trump’s re-election in November 2024, monthly volume soared to $2.5 billion, sparking corresponding spikes in USDC transfers and bridge activity.

Such flows demonstrate how stablecoins now power real-time market infrastructure. “Momentum is likely to accelerate further with a new content partnership with X, positioning prediction markets as viral social content rather than purely financial tools,” the report said.

AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

Más para ti

Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 as U.S. recession risk builds, Mike McGlone says

Bitcoin bus (Photo: Olivier Acuna/Modified by CoinDesk)

McGlone links bitcoin’s downturn to record U.S. market cap-to-GDP levels, low equity volatility and rising gold prices, warning of potential contagion into stocks.

Lo que debes saber:

  • Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warns that collapsing crypto prices and a potential bitcoin slide toward $10,000 could signal mounting financial stress and foreshadow a U.S. recession.
  • McGlone argues the post-2008 "buy the dip" era may be ending as crypto weakens, stock market valuations sit near century highs relative to GDP, and equity volatility remains unusually low.
  • Market analyst Jason Fernandes counters that a drop to $10,000 bitcoin would likely require a severe systemic shock and recession, calling such an outcome a low-probability tail risk compared with a milder reset or consolidation.