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Bitcoin to Hit New All-Time High Around $120K in Q2, Standard Chartered Says

Strategic allocation away from U.S. assets is likely to be the catalyst for move to a new record.

Updated Apr 28, 2025, 8:33 p.m. Published Apr 28, 2025, 12:50 p.m.
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What to know:

  • Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high in the second quarter of this year, according to Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick.
  • The move higher is likelly to fueled by investors moving out of U.S. assets.
  • Kendrick reiterated his previous target of $200,000 by the end of the year.

Strategic allocation away from U.S. assets by investors could see bitcoin hit a new all-time high in the second quarter of the year, Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick said in a report Monday.

Kendrick sees the world's largest cryptocurrency as reaching $120,000 this quarter as he reiterated his previous target of $200,000 by the end of 2025.

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Bitcoin was trading around $95,300 at publication time.

Kendrick noted that the U.S. Treasury term premium, which is closely correlated to the bitcoin price, is at a 12-year high. Accumulation by whales has also been strong. In addition, bitcoin time-of-day analysis suggests that American investors may be looking for non-U.S. assets, he said.

Lastly, exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows in the last week suggest "safe-haven reallocation from gold into BTC," wrote Kendrick.

"Bitcoin may be a better hedge than gold against financial system risks," he added.

Read more: Tariffs, Trade Tensions May Be Positive for Bitcoin Adoption in Medium Term: Grayscale

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Bitcoin and ether tick higher, but weak altcoin breadth, heavy liquidations and elevated options hedging suggest traders remain cautious.

What to know:

  • BTC trades near $67,000 and ETH near $1,970, with volatility fading after Feb. 5’s selloff.
  • Derivatives show stabilization, with open interest at $15.38 billion and funding positive
  • Elevated short-term implied volatility signals caution.
  • $218 million in liquidations and 97 of top 100 tokens in the red underscore fragile sentiment.