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Bitcoin Bears Target 200-day Average as Macro Concerns Overshadow Trump's Crypto-Related Actions
Macro concerns, mainly tariff-related, overshadow Trump's crypto announcements, one observer noted.
What to know:
- Bitcoin slipped over 3% to $83,200 to test the 200-day average.
- Despite President Trump's recent crypto-related announcements, the focus has shifted toward the economic impact of the ongoing tariff war and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rates.
- Macro concerns, mainly tariff-related, are influencing risk assets.
Bitcoin bears looked to penetrate key support Sunday, extending a three-day losing streak as macroeconomic concerns overshadowed President Donald Trump's recent-crypto-related announcements.
The leading cryptocurrency by market value slipped over 3% to $83,200, testing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), according to CoinDesk and TradingView data. Prices have dropped over 10% since putting highs above $92,800 Thursday.
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The latest decline comes as trade tensions between the U.S. and China are set to escalate on Monday. Beijing will levy tariffs on certain U.S. agricultural goods in retaliation for President Donald Trump's latest hike on Chinese imports. The tariff war has injected significant uncertainty in the market and for policymakers.
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that the central bank will maintain its cautious stance on interest rates while assessing the economic impact of President Donald Trump’s policy shifts. The comments came on the heels of a soft U.S. nonfarm payrolls report and expectations for at least three Fed rate cuts this year.
According to observers, these developments, coupled with recessionary signals from the bond market, are taking focus away from Trump's recent announcement of a strategic BTC stockpile.
"Despite the very positive news, Bitcoin fell 4% from $90,000 to under $87,000 in hours. It appears focus on Trump's crypto-related actions are increasingly secondary as tariff war fears accelerate," analytics firm IntoTheBlock said in the weekly newsletter to subscribers Friday.
The firm added that macro concerns, mainly tariff-related, have been pushing down markets, noting the strengthening positive correlation between bitcoin, ether and U.S. stocks.
"Further actions like Trump stating he's not even looking at the stock market, and his administration targeting lower long-term interest rates instead, suggest that investor expectations of a Trump bull market may have been too eager," the firm said.
Noelle Acheson, the author of Crypto Is Macro Now, said in Saturday's edition that BTC's dour price action in the wake of the strategic stockpile announcement "underscores how macro concerns still weigh heavy on crypto assets."
The chart shows buyers stepped in below the 200-day SMA on Feb. 28 and March 2, leading to a price bounce. The market will likely keep an eye on this level to see if traders do the same again.
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Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb
The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.
Ce qu'il:
- Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
- The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
- Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.
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