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Bitcoin Could Swing Back to $95K Amid Signs of BTC Bear Exhaustion

Signs of seller exhaustion at the 200-day SMA suggests scope for a price bounce.

Updated Mar 5, 2025, 6:10 p.m. Published Mar 5, 2025, 10:25 a.m.
A BTC bounce may be coming. (ArtTower/Pixabay)
A BTC bounce may be coming. (ArtTower/Pixabay)

What to know:

  • Technical charts indicate bullish undercurrents for bitcoin at key support, suggesting a potential market reversal.
  • Bitcoin's price decline has stalled at the 200-day simple moving average support level, with signs of weakening selling pressure.
  • Resistance is seen at $95,000 followed by $100K.

Technical charts, particularly the shape of candlesticks, often reflect the psychology behind the market, highlighting trader sentiment and behavior. Since Friday, at least two bitcoin candles have indicated bullish undercurrents at multi-month lows, providing a glimmer of hope for crypto bulls.

The chart below shows that BTC's price decline has stalled at the 200-day simple moving average support level since last Wednesday. Daily candles for Tuesday and Friday are of particular interest, as both have small bodies with long lower wicks, hinting at bear failures below the 200-day SMA.

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BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)
BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

In other words, on both days, sellers initially pushed prices below the key average but failed to establish a foothold there, likely due to buyers stepping in to protect the support level.

Such candles appearing after a notable downtrend, which is the case in BTC, signal a potential bullish reversal. Traders usually see it as evidence of weakening selling pressure that might translate into a renewed bullish phase.

So, BTC could bounce back to Sunday's high of around $95,000, above which traders may once again set sights on the $100,000 mark. On the flip side, a downside break of the 200-day SMA could deeper losses.

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Eric Trump reitrates claim bitcoin is just getting started on its road to $1 million

Eric Trump speaks at Consensus 2025 in Toronto (CoinDesk)

U.S. President Donald Trump’s son Eric Trump acknowledged bitcoin’s volatility but said its upside potential outweighs the risks as prices hover below $70,000.

What to know:

  • Eric Trump reiterated his prediction that bitcoin will eventually reach $1 million, saying he has never been more bullish on the cryptocurrency.
  • Speaking at the World Liberty Financial forum at Mar-a-Lago, he cited bitcoin's roughly 70% average annual gain over the past decade and challenged critics to name a better-performing asset class.
  • His renewed optimism comes despite bitcoin trading below $67,000 and falling from its 2025 peak above $126,000, and as the Trump family deepens its involvement in crypto through the World Liberty Financial venture.