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Robinhood to Benefit From ‘Monster’ Crypto Cycle, Initiated Outperform by Bernstein

Total crypto market cap is expected to almost triple to $7.5 trillion by 2025, the report said.

Updated Mar 14, 2024, 6:24 p.m. Published Mar 14, 2024, 8:44 a.m.
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  • Bernstein initiated coverage of Robinhood (HOOD) with an outperform rating and $30 price target.
  • The broker expects total crypto market cap to grow almost threefold to $7.5 trillion by 2025.
  • It said bitcoin spot ETF assets under management could climb as high as $300 billion by 2025.

Bernstein initiated coverage of trading platform Robinhood (HOOD) with an outperform rating and a price target of $30, citing a "monster" crypto cycle as the reason for the bullish call, the broker said in a research report Thursday.

“We expect total crypto market cap to reach $7.5T by 2025 versus $2.6T today,” and this means Robinhood crypto revenue should grow ninefold, the report said. The company said Wednesday that crypto trading volume on its platform rose 10% in February from January.

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Bernstein expects bitcoin’s market cap to grow to $3 trillion by 2025, ether’s to increase to $1.8 trillion and other leading blockchain tokens to reach a combined $1.4 trillion.

“We believe the crypto market is amidst unprecedented institutional adoption,” analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra wrote. Spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) assets under management may surge to as high as $300 billion by 2025. It expects an ether ETF to become available within 12 months.

The broker views Robinhood as a two year cyclical trade, “riding the crypto-led earnings inflection over 2024-25.”

Robinhood shares rose over 10% in after-hours trading.

Read more: How Robinhood and Arbitrum Hope to Bring More People On-Chain

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BlackRock exec says 1% crypto allocation in Asia could unlock $2 trillion in new flows

BlackRock logo in front of a building (BlackRock/Modified by CoinDesk)

During a panel discussion at Consensus in Hong Kong, Peach pointed to massive capital pools in traditional finance as ETF adoption spreads across Asia.

What to know:

  • Even a 1% crypto allocation in standard portfolios across Asia could translate into nearly $2 trillion of inflows, highlighting how modest shifts in asset allocation could transform the digital asset market, according to the head of APAC iShares at BlackRock, Nicholas Peach.
  • BlackRock's iShares unit, whose U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT has rapidly grown to about $53 billion in assets, is seeing strong demand from Asian investors as ETF adoption accelerates across the region.
  • Regulators in markets such as Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea are moving toward broader crypto ETF offerings, but industry leaders say investor education and portfolio strategy will be critical to channeling traditional finance capital into digital assets.