Share this article

Ether Could Hit $3,000 as Soaring Network Activity Turns Token Deflationary

The Ethereum blockchain settled $250 billion of transactions last week, the highest since mid-March, underpinning ether's bullish outlook.

Nov 7, 2023, 5:27 p.m.
Ethereum (Unsplash)
Ethereum (Unsplash)

Ether [ETH] broke out from its downtrend and could head towards $3,000 as the recent altcoin frenzy revitalized network activity, Markus Thielen, research head of Matrixport, noted in a report this week.

"Revenues for the Ethereum ecosystem are bottoming out from depressed levels; this could signal a tradeable bottom for ETH," said Thielen.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters

Ethereum's weekly revenue – which is the income from the network's transaction fees, also known as gas – recently rose above $30 million for two consecutive weeks, up from a yearly low of $12 million hit in early October, Token Terminal data shows.

"A tactical bullish trade could have merit for as long as weekly Ethereum fees stay above $30 million," Thielen added, setting a $3,000 price target based on technical chart patterns.

ETH price chart (Markus Thielen, Defi on Target)
ETH price chart (Markus Thielen, Defi on Target)

The bullish outlook marks a pivot from Thielen's bearish views on ETH in September, where he cited deteriorating network revenues and user activity. Indeed, ether early in October declined to a 7-month low, while its relative valuation against bitcoin [BTC] tumbled to a 15-month low.

Alongside a major rally for bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market since, ETH has bounced roughly 20%, recently changing hands at $1,870.

Ether turns deflationary

Capital rotation from bitcoin to altcoins helped spur user activity on Ethereum, which is the foundation of many decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols and decentralized exchanges (DEXs), IntoTheBlock pointed out.

The network settled $250 billion of asset transfers last week, the most in value since the mid-March regional banking crisis and up from $105 billion in late August, per IntoTheBlock data.

As a result of soaring activity on Ethereum, blockchain data shows that more ETH was burned than added to its supply over the past week, turning the token deflationary after two months of being inflationary.

The rising on-chain activity signals that fundamentals of the crypto market are improving, according to Lucas Outumuro, research head at IntoTheBlock.

"Improving on-chain activity and growing spot-driven inflows point to strong demand driving crypto's rally," Outumuro said.

More For You

Pudgy Penguins: A New Blueprint for Tokenized Culture

Pudgy Title Image

Pudgy Penguins is building a multi-vertical consumer IP platform — combining phygital products, games, NFTs and PENGU to monetize culture at scale.

What to know:

Pudgy Penguins is emerging as one of the strongest NFT-native brands of this cycle, shifting from speculative “digital luxury goods” into a multi-vertical consumer IP platform. Its strategy is to acquire users through mainstream channels first; toys, retail partnerships and viral media, then onboard them into Web3 through games, NFTs and the PENGU token.

The ecosystem now spans phygital products (> $13M retail sales and >1M units sold), games and experiences (Pudgy Party surpassed 500k downloads in two weeks), and a widely distributed token (airdropped to 6M+ wallets). While the market is currently pricing Pudgy at a premium relative to traditional IP peers, sustained success depends on execution across retail expansion, gaming adoption and deeper token utility.

More For You

Bullish bitcoin traders grab crash protection as Friday's $8.9B expiry nears

Open Interest by strike price (Deribit)

Bitcoin and ether options worth billions of dollars are set to expire this Friday.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin options worth $8.5 billion and ether options worth $1.3 billion are set to expire Friday on Deribit, with positioning skewed toward bullish call bets.
  • The bitcoin put-call ratio of 0.56 shows traders entered January expecting stronger bitcoin gains.
  • Ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision, some traders are buying downside protection to hedge short-term volatility.