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First Mover Americas: Ether's Shanghai Rumble
The latest price moves in crypto markets in context for April 12, 2023.
Updated Apr 12, 2023, 3:35 p.m. Published Apr 12, 2023, 3:03 p.m.
This article originally appeared in First Mover, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day.
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Bitcoin slipped under the $30,000 level in early European hours on Wednesday, with overall market capitalization falling 1.2% in the past 24 hours. Ether traded just over $1,860, down 3%, leading the drop among major tokens. Ether dipped ahead of the Ethereum network's major upgradetaking place later today at 22:27 UTC (6:27 p.m. ET). Exchanges liquidated just over $30 million worth of leveraged futures bets during Wednesday's price drop, of which, more than 90% were longs or bullish bets. In addition to the Ethereum network upgrade, traders were likely also taking profits ahead of the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report for March, which is due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
A report by blockchain analytics firm Glassnode estimates at least $300 million worth of selling pressure after the Shanghai upgrade today. “We estimate a total of 170K ETH intended to be sold after the upgrade,” Glassnode said in a report. “We project that only 100K ETH ($190M) of the total accumulated rewards will be withdrawn and sold.” Glassnode said the estimate was made based on a “50% withdrawal credential update, our segmentation of depositors, and assumptions regarding investor conviction, and profitability” by using wallet behavior, period of staking and presence of liquid staking derivative products, such as Lido.
Tron’s TRX token has been delisted by Binance.US. This comes weeks after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sued Tron's Justin Sun over allegations of selling and airdropping unregistered securities, fraud and market manipulation involving the TRX token. TRX dropped 6.4% on the news, according to CoinDesk market data. Binance.US says trading for TRX will end on April 18.
Chart of the Day
- The chart shows weekly changes in the total crypto market valuation since 2018.
- On Tuesday, market valuation surpassed the $1.2 trillion mark, ending weeks of consolidation and hitting the highest since June.
- The move higher is reminiscent of the bull revival seen four years ago.
- "The April-May 2019 framework is playing right on cue with the crypto finally breaking the $1.15T on the global MCAP index after 26 days of battle," Decentral Park Capital's portfolio manager Lewis Harland said.
- "This break could echo the April-May 2019 period when crypto tried to break above the $180B mark for 35 days before gaining 100% 49 days afterward (red)," Harland added.
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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind
A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.
What to know:
- The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
- A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
- Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.
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