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Federal Reserve’s Powell: Inflation Battle Not Yet Close to Finished

The U.S. central bank chair, in a speech Friday morning, doubled down on his intent to aggressively hike interest rates to bring inflation down.

Updated May 11, 2023, 6:21 p.m. Published Aug 26, 2022, 2:30 p.m.
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Restrictive monetary policy will likely be required for some time, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a long-awaited speech at the central bank’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

“Restoring price stability will take some time and requires using our tools forcefully to bring demand and supply into better balance,” Powell said.

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Bitcoin was little changed after the Fed chair's speech, suggesting that Powell’s rather hawkish comments were largely already priced into markets.

"We expect a 75 basis point rate hike in September, and do not expect there to be a drastic effect on the markets should that come to pass, followed by successive rate hikes until inflation is reined in and the unemployment rate returns to a healthier number," Josh Olszewicz, head of research at digital asset fund manager Valkyrie Investments, wrote in an email.

For the first time in the history of this Fed annual meeting, the speech was livestreamed because investors around the globe were eagerly awaiting guidance from central bankers about where they believe inflation is headed.

Read more: Wounded Crypto Traders Desperate for Clues From Fed’s Big Meeting This Week

Handing a fig leaf to the doves, Powell did say that a slower pace of rate increases will become “appropriate” at some point. As for September’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting and whether policymakers will tighten by another 50 or 75 basis points, Powell said the decision will “depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook.”

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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind

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A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.

What to know:

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
  • A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.