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Bank of America Sees No Crypto Winter Given User Adoption, Developer Activity Growth

Still, crypto market upside will likely be limited for the next six months by Fed tightening and macro headwinds.

Updated May 11, 2023, 3:22 p.m. Published Feb 28, 2022, 10:31 a.m.
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An analysis of cryptocurrency flows between personal and exchange-based wallets shows a “lack of directional conviction” in the market, Bank of America said in a note entitled “Digital Assets: In the Flow.”

Tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve and macroeconomic headwinds are likely to limit upside for cryptocurrencies over the next six months. This won’t, however, be a “crypto winter” given the level of user adoption and growth in development activity, analysts led by Alkesh Shah wrote in the note Friday.

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Bitcoin exchange outflows suggest that buying on dips is muted, while exchange inflows for ether show the potential for continued price headwinds, the bank said.

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The top three stablecoins saw exchange inflows slow significantly for the second week in a row, the report said. Last week’s exchange inflows reached $517,000, down 99% from the previous week, indicating that investors may be biding their time in the current macroeconomic environment, the bank’s analysts said.

It will be difficult for the crypto market to break out of the recent trading range until concerns about a potential recession are discounted, according to the bank.

Read more: Bitcoin Resilient as Commodity Prices Inflate; Dollar Strength May Hurt

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Bitcoin sinks to $66,000, U.S. stocks lose steam as Fed minutes mention possible rate hike

Bitcoin (BTC) price on Feb. 18 (CoinDesk)

Bitcoin is now on track for its fifth consecutive weekly decline, and losing this level could open the floor for a fresh leg lower.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin fell back to $66,000 on Wednesday afternoon, testing the lower end of its recent trading range.
  • Crypto-related stocks reversed early gains, with Coinbase swinging from a 3% morning rise to a 2% loss and Strategy slipping about 3%.
  • Surprisingly hawkish Fed minutes had the U.S.dollar strengthening, putting pressure on risk assets.